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The $k$-core decomposition is a widely studied summary statistic that describes a graph's global connectivity structure. In this paper, we move beyond using $k$-core decomposition as a tool to summarize a graph and propose using $k$-core…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Vishesh Karwa , Michael J. Pelsmajer , Sonja Petrović , Despina Stasi , Dane Wilburne

Autoregressive models enable tractable sampling from learned probability distributions, but their performance critically depends on the variable ordering used in the factorization via complexities of the resulting conditional distributions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Shiba Biswal , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

A graphical model encodes conditional independence relations via the Markov properties. For an undirected graph these conditional independence relations can be represented by a simple polytope known as the graph associahedron, which can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Fatemeh Mohammadi , Caroline Uhler , Charles Wang , Josephine Yu

Suppose we observe samples of a subset of a collection of random variables. No additional information is provided about the number of latent variables, nor of the relationship between the latent and observed variables. Is it possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Venkat Chandrasekaran , Pablo A. Parrilo , Alan S. Willsky

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

Probabilistic graphical models offer a powerful framework to account for the dependence structure between variables, which is represented as a graph. However, the dependence between variables may render inference tasks intractable. In this…

Consider $n$ random variables forming a Markov random field (MRF). The true model of the MRF is unknown, and it is assumed to belong to a binary set. The objective is to sequentially sample the random variables (one-at-a-time) such that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer , H. Vincent Poor

The Contextuality-by-Default approach to determining and measuring the (non)contextuality of a system of random variables requires that every random variable in the system be represented by an equivalent set of dichotomous random variables.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Janne V. Kujala , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

Undirected graphical models are applied in genomics, protein structure prediction, and neuroscience to identify sparse interactions that underlie discrete data. Although Bayesian methods for inference would be favorable in these contexts,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-15 John Ingraham , Debora Marks

Moralisation and Triangulation are transformations allowing to switch between different ways of factoring a probability distribution into a graphical model. Moralisation allows to view a Bayesian network (a directed model) as a Markov…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Antonio Lorenzin , Fabio Zanasi

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Recovering Markov boundary -- the minimal set of variables that maximizes predictive performance for a response variable -- is crucial in many applications. While recent advances improve upon traditional constraint-based techniques by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Khoa Nguyen , Bao Duong , Viet Huynh , Thin Nguyen

In Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), the graph structure is incorporated into the learning of node representations. This complex structure makes explaining GNNs' predictions become much more challenging. In this paper, we propose PGM-Explainer,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Minh N. Vu , My T. Thai

In this paper, explicit error bounds are derived in the approximation of rank $k$ projections of certain $n$-dimensional random vectors by standard $k$-dimensional Gaussian random vectors. The bounds are given in terms of $k$, $n$, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-07 Elizabeth Meckes

Causal variables in Markov boundary (MB) have been widely applied in extensive single-label tasks. While few researches focus on the causal variable discovery in multi-label data due to the complex causal relationships. Since some variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Xingyu Wu , Bingbing Jiang , Yan Zhong , Huanhuan Chen

Background: In epidemiology, causal inference and prediction modeling methodologies have been historically distinct. Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are used to model a priori causal assumptions and inform variable selection strategies for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-03 Marco Piccininni , Stefan Konigorski , Jessica L Rohmann , Tobias Kurth

For a directed graph $G(V_n, E_n)$ on the vertices $V_n = \{1,2, \dots, n\}$, we study the distribution of a Markov chain $\{ {\bf R}^{(k)}: k \geq 0\}$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ such that the $i$th component of ${\bf R}^{(k)}$, denoted…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Nicolas Fraiman , Tzu-Chi Lin , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

Given a Gaussian Markov random field, we consider the problem of selecting a subset of variables to observe which minimizes the total expected squared prediction error of the unobserved variables. We first show that finding an exact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-27 Satyaki Mahalanabis , Daniel Stefankovic