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We propose a rumor propagation model in which individuals within a homogeneously mixed population can assume one of infinitely many possible states. To analyze this model, we extend the classical law of large numbers for density-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Cristian F. Coletti , Denis A. Luiz , Alejandra Rada

We propose a mathematical model to measure how multiple repetitions may influence in the ultimate proportion of the population never hearing a rumor during a given outbreak. The model is a multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chain that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Alejandra Rada , Cristian F. Coletti , Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

We propose a realistic generalization of the Maki-Thompson rumour model by assuming that each spreader ceases to propagate the rumour right after being involved in a random number of stifling experiences. We consider the process with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Elcio Lebensztayn , Fábio P. Machado , Pablo M. Rodríguez

Rumor and information spreading are natural processes that emerge from human-to-human interaction. Mathematically, this was explored in the popular Maki-Thompson model, where a phase transition was thought to be absent. Here, we show that a…

In this paper we study the Maki-Thompson rumor model on infinite Cayley trees. The basic version of the model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals: ignorants,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

We investigate rumor spreading in a generalized Maki-Thompson model with spontaneous stifling, evolving on quasi-transitive networks. Individuals are either ignorants, spreaders, or stiflers; spreaders stop by contact with other spreaders…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Nancy Lopes Garcia , Denis Araujo Luiz , Daniel Miranda Machado

We examine a general stochastic rumor model characterized by specific parameters that govern the interaction rates among individuals. Our model includes the \((\alpha, p)\)-probability variants of the well-known Daley--Kendall and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-11 Elcio Lebensztayn , Pablo M. Rodriguez

The Maki-Thompson rumor model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals; namely, ignorants, spreaders and stiflers. A spreader tells the rumor to any of its nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

Rumor spreading is a ubiquitous phenomenon in social and technological networks. Traditional models consider that the rumor is propagated by pairwise interactions between spreaders and ignorants. Spreaders can become stiflers only after…

We study the dynamics and intervention strategies of a rumor using the modified Maki-Thompson model. A key challenge in social networks is distinguishing between natural increases in transmissibility and artificial injections of rumor…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-11 Eva Rifà , Julian Vicens , Emanuele Cozzo

In this paper we propose a deterministic mathematical model that attempts to explain the propagation of a rumor using SIRS type epidemiological models with temporary immunity and nonlinear incidence rate. In particular, we speculate about…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 René Escalante , Marco Odehnal

The spread of ideas in online social networks is a crucial phenomenon to understand nowadays the proliferation of fake news and their impact in democracies. This makes necessary to use models that mimic the circulation of rumors. The law of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Jesus San Martin , Fatima Drubi , Daniel Rodriguez-Perez

In some systems, the behavior of the constituent units can create a `context' that modifies the direct interactions among them. This mechanism of indirect modification inspired us to develop a minimal model of context-dependent spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Giulio Burgio , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

We consider the Maki-Thompson model for the stochastic propagation of a rumour within a population. We extend the original hypothesis of homogenously mixed population by allowing for a small-world network embedding the model. This structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Elena Agliari , Angelica Pachon , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Flavia Tavani

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

This paper proposes a dynamic epidemic model for successive opinion diffusion in social networks, extending the SHIMR model. It incorporates dynamic decision-making influenced by social distances and captures accumulative opinion diffusion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Bin Han , Fabienne Renckens , C. Clark Cao , Hans D. Schotten

The spread of rumors, which are known as unverified statements of uncertain origin, may cause tremendous number of social problems. If it would be possible to identify factors affecting spreading a rumor (such as agents' desires, trust…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Masoud Amoozgar , Rasoul Ramezanian

The burst in the use of online social networks over the last decade has provided evidence that current rumor spreading models miss some fundamental ingredients in order to reproduce how information is disseminated. In particular, recent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-02 Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Sandro Meloni , Bruno Gonçalves , Yamir Moreno

This paper focuses on studying and understanding of stochastic dynamics in population composition when the population is subject to rumor spreading. We undertake the study by first developing an individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-03 Lan Di , Yudi Gu , Guoqi Qian , George Xianzhi Yuan

We study a variety of stochastic contact processes -- directly related to models of rumor and disease spreading -- from the viewpoint of their constants of motion, either exact or approximated. Much as in deterministic systems, constants of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Damián H. Zanette , Eric A. Rozán
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