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Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterized by complex and largely unknown progression dynamics affecting the brain's morphology. Although the disease evolution spans decades, to date we cannot rely on long-term data to model the pathological…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-14 Clement Abi Nader , Nicholas Ayache , Philippe Robert , Marco Lorenzi

In this work, we present an additive model for space-time data that splits the data into a temporally correlated component and a spatially correlated component. We model the spatially correlated portion using a time-varying Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Kristjan Greenewald , Seyoung Park , Shuheng Zhou , Alexander Giessing

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Models of misfolded proteins (MP) aim at discovering the bio-mechanical propagation properties of neurological diseases (ND) by identifying plausible associated dynamical systems. Solving these systems along the full disease trajectory is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-31 Sara Garbarino , Marco Lorenzi

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Most brain disorders are very heterogeneous in terms of their underlying biology and developing analysis methods to model such heterogeneity is a major challenge. A promising approach is to use probabilistic regression methods to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Seyed Mostafa Kia , Christian F. Beckmann , Andre F. Marquand

The development of statistical approaches for the joint modelling of the temporal changes of imaging, biochemical, and clinical biomarkers is of paramount importance for improving the understanding of neurodegenerative disorders, and for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-16 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone , Daniel C. Alexander , Sebastien Ourselin

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Normative modeling has recently been proposed as an alternative for the case-control approach in modeling heterogeneity within clinical cohorts. Normative modeling is based on single-output Gaussian process regression that provides coherent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Seyed Mostafa Kia , Andre Marquand

In this paper, we propose a deep generative time series approach using latent temporal processes for modeling and holistically analyzing complex disease trajectories. We aim to find meaningful temporal latent representations of an…

This thesis focuses on data that has complex spatio-temporal structure and on probabilistic graphical models that learn the structure in an interpretable and scalable manner. We target two research areas of interest: Gaussian graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yu Wang

Complex multivariate time series arise in many fields, ranging from computer vision to robotics or medicine. Often we are interested in the independent underlying factors that give rise to the high-dimensional data we are observing. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Simon Bing , Vincent Fortuin , Gunnar Rätsch

Spatiotemporal gene expression data of the human brain offer insights on the spa- tial and temporal patterns of gene regulation during brain development. Most existing methods for analyzing these data consider spatial and temporal profiles…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-27 Tianqi Liu , Ming Yuan , Hongyu Zhao

Understanding and predicting the progression of neurodegenerative diseases remains a major challenge in medical AI, with significant implications for early diagnosis, disease monitoring, and treatment planning. However, most available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Nivetha Jayakumar , Swakshar Deb , Bahram Jafrasteh , Qingyu Zhao , Miaomiao Zhang

We introduce a scalable Gaussian process (GP) framework with deep product kernels for data-driven learning of parametrized spatio-temporal fields over fixed or parameter-dependent domains. The proposed framework learns a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Srinath Dama , Prasanth B. Nair

We present a theory-guided generalized Bayesian methodology for spatio-temporal raster data, which we use to train an ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks with Gaussian-distributed weights. The methodology incorporates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Leonardo Bardi , Imma Valentina Curato , Lorenzo Proietti

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

Normative aging trends of the brain can serve as an important reference in the assessment of neurological structural disorders. Such models are typically developed from longitudinal brain image data -- follow-up data of the same subject…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Alphin J Thottupattu , Jayanthi Sivaswamy , Venkateswaran P. Krishnan

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Dmitry Gayfulin
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