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Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

In this paper, we explore whether the infection-rate of a disease can serve as a robust monitoring variable in epidemiological surveillance algorithms. The infection-rate is dependent on population mixing patterns that do not vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-17 Wyatt Bridgman , Cosmin Safta , Jaideep Ray

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

For well over a quarter century, detection systems have been driven by models learned from input features collected from real or simulated environments. An artifact (e.g., network event, potential malware sample, suspicious email) is deemed…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Z. Berkay Celik , Patrick McDaniel , Rauf Izmailov , Nicolas Papernot , Ryan Sheatsley , Raquel Alvarez , Ananthram Swami

Reinforcement learning (RL), owing to its adaptability to various dynamic systems in many real-world scenarios and the capability of maximizing long-term outcomes under different constraints, has been used in infectious disease control to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Mutong Liu , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Epidemics of infectious diseases are an important threat to public health and global economies. Yet, the development of prevention strategies remains a challenging process, as epidemics are non-linear and complex processes. For this reason,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Pieter Libin , Arno Moonens , Timothy Verstraeten , Fabian Perez-Sanjines , Niel Hens , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé

Responding to disease outbreaks requires close surveillance of their trajectories, but outbreak detection is hindered by the high noise in epidemic time series. Aggregating information across data sources has shown great denoising ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the spread of infection, both of which inform evidence-based public health guidance and policies. Here, we…

A key characteristic of the spread of infectious diseases is their ability to use efficient transmission paths within contact graphs. This enables the pathogen to maximise infection rates and spread within a target population. In this work,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Shishir Nagaraja

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the integration of interpretable machine learning techniques has garnered significant attention, offering transparent and understandable insights crucial for informed clinical decision making. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Jinzhi Shen , Ke Ma

Current methods for the detection of contagious outbreaks give contemporaneous information about the course of an epidemic at best. Individuals at the center of a social network are likely to be infected sooner, on average, than those at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-26 Nicholas A. Christakis , James H. Fowler

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The proliferation of early diagnostic technologies, including self-monitoring systems and wearables, coupled with the application of these technologies on large segments of healthy populations may significantly aggravate the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Anna Fedyukova , Douglas Pires , Daniel Capurro

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Social media has become an important source for understanding mental health, providing researchers with a way to detect conditions like depression from user-generated posts. This tutorial provides practical guidance to address common…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Yeyubei Zhang , Zhongyan Wang , Zhanyi Ding , Yexin Tian , Jianglai Dai , Xiaorui Shen , Yunchong Liu , Yuchen Cao

Clinical researchers use disease progression models to understand patient status and characterize progression patterns from longitudinal health records. One approach for disease progression modeling is to describe patient status using a…

In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and vaccination coverage $v_c$…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tom Britton , Federica Giardina

Current deep learning based disease diagnosis systems usually fall short in catastrophic forgetting, i.e., directly fine-tuning the disease diagnosis model on new tasks usually leads to abrupt decay of performance on previous tasks. What is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Zifeng Wang , Yifan Yang , Rui Wen , Xi Chen , Shao-Lun Huang , Yefeng Zheng

Globally, the outbreaks of infectious diseases have exerted an extremely profound and severe influence on health security and the economy. During the critical phases of epidemics, devising effective intervention measures poses a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Baida Zhang , Yakai Chen , Huichun Li , Zhenghu Zu

Accurate disease detection is of paramount importance for effective medical treatment and patient care. However, the process of disease detection is often associated with extensive medical testing and considerable costs, making it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Haokun Zhao , Yingzhe Bai , Qingyang Xu , Lixin Zhou , Jianxin Chen , Jicong Fan