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We present a general framework for adaptive allocation of viral tests in social contact networks. We pose and solve several complementary problems. First, we consider the design of a social sensing system whose objective is the early…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Pau Batlle , Joan Bruna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Victor M. Preciado

Strategic test allocation plays a major role in the control of both emerging and existing pandemics (e.g., COVID-19, HIV). Widespread testing supports effective epidemic control by (1) reducing transmission via identifying cases, and (2)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Ivana Malenica , Jeremy R. Coyle , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

In the age of digital epidemiology, epidemiologists are faced by an increasing amount of data of growing complexity and dimensionality. Machine learning is a set of powerful tools that can help to analyze such enormous amounts of data. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Marvin N. Wright , Lukas Burk , Pegah Golchian , Jan Kapar , Niklas Koenen , Sophie Hanna Langbein

Identifying the infection status of each individual during infectious diseases informs public health management. However, performing frequent individual-level tests may not be feasible. Instead, sparse and sometimes group-level tests are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Zahra Gholamalian , Zeinab Maleki , MasoudReza Hashemi , Pouria Ramazi

Epidemiologists aiming to model the dynamics of global events face a significant challenge in identifying the factors linked with anomalies such as disease outbreaks. In this paper, we present a novel method for identifying the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Aboli Marathe , Saloni Parekh , Harsh Sakhrani

A combination of traditional image processing methods with advanced neural networks concretes a predictive and preventive healthcare paradigm. This study offers rapid, accurate, and non-invasive diagnostic solutions that can significantly…

Vaccination and outbreak monitoring are essential tools for preventing and minimizing outbreaks of infectious diseases. Targeted strategies, where the individuals most important for monitoring or preventing outbreaks are selected for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-04 Enys Mones , Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Pentland , Nathaniel Hupert , Sune Lehmann

Processes such as disease propagation and information diffusion often spread over some latent network structure which must be learned from observation. Given a set of unlabeled training examples representing occurrences of an event type of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 Sriram Somanchi , Daniel B. Neill

Background: The global spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic has clearly shown the importance of considering the long-range transportation networks in the understanding of emerging diseases outbreaks. The…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-16 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Vespignani

The accurate estimation of time-varying transmission rates is fundamental for understanding infectious disease dynamics and implementing effective public health interventions. To this end, we propose an improved inverse method for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-17 Shuanglin Jing , Yuting Huang , Hai-Feng Huo

The increased success of Deep Learning (DL) has recently sparked large-scale deployment of DL models in many diverse industry segments. Yet, a crucial weakness of supervised model is the inherent difficulty in handling out-of-distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Lixuan Yang , Dario Rossi

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…

A particular challenge for disease progression modeling is the heterogeneity of a disease and its manifestations in the patients. Existing approaches often assume the presence of a single disease progression characteristics which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Taha Ceritli , Andrew P. Creagh , David A. Clifton

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

The spread of an undesirable contact process, such as an infectious disease (e.g. COVID-19), is contained through testing and isolation of infected nodes. The temporal and spatial evolution of the process (along with containment through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Xingran Chen , Hesam Nikpey , Jungyeol Kim , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi-Bidokhti

Objectives. Sustainable management of plant diseases is an open challenge which has relevant economic and environmental impact. Optimal strategies rely on human expertise for field scouting under favourable conditions to assess the current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Alessandro Benfenati , Paola Causin , Roberto Oberti , Giovanni Stefanello

Purveyors of malicious network attacks continue to increase the complexity and the sophistication of their techniques, and their ability to evade detection continues to improve as well. Hence, intrusion detection systems must also evolve to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Ahmed Shafee , Mohamed Baza , Douglas A. Talbert , Mostafa M. Fouda , Mahmoud Nabil , Mohamed Mahmoud

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

The advent of the coronavirus pandemic has sparked the interest in predictive models capable of forecasting virus-spreading, especially for boosting and supporting decision-making processes. In this paper, we will outline the main Deep…