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In multivariate pattern analysis of neuroimaging data, 'second-level' inference is often performed by entering classification accuracies into a $t$-test vs chance level across subjects. We argue that while the random-effects analysis…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-11 Carsten Allefeld , Kai Görgen , John-Dylan Haynes

Model-based Bayesian inference for sample and population-level causal estimands has been growing in popularity. This literature routinely emphasizes clear specification of the target estimand, however blind implementation of standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Arman Oganisian

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

This paper explores Bayesian inference for a biased sampling model in situations where the population of interest cannot be sampled directly, but rather through an indirect and inherently biased method. Observations are viewed as being the…

Applications · Statistics 2007-11-26 Russell Zaretzki , Michael A. Gilchrist , William M. Briggs , Artin Armagan

In an observational study, it is common to leverage known null effect to detect bias. One such strategy is to set aside a placebo sample -- a subset of data immune from the hypothesized cause-and-effect relationship. Existence of an effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ting Ye , Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang

Accurately measuring discrimination is crucial to faithfully assessing fairness of trained machine learning (ML) models. Any bias in measuring discrimination leads to either amplification or underestimation of the existing disparity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Sami Zhioua , Rūta Binkytė

Simulation-based inference plays a major role in modern statistics, and often employs either reallocating (as in a randomization test) or resampling (as in bootstrapping). Reallocating mimics random allocation to treatment groups, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Kari Lock Morgan

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

This paper considers the two-dataset problem, where data are collected from two potentially different populations sharing common aspects. This problem arises when data are collected by two different types of researchers or from two…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Steven N. MacEachern , Koji Miyawaki

Accurately measuring discrimination is crucial to faithfully assessing fairness of trained machine learning (ML) models. Any bias in measuring discrimination leads to either amplification or underestimation of the existing disparity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Sami Zhioua , Ruta Binkyte , Ayoub Ouni , Farah Barika Ktata

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

Network datasets appear across a wide range of scientific fields, including biology, physics, and the social sciences. To enable data-driven discoveries from these networks, statistical inference techniques like estimation and hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Arpan Kumar , Minh Tang , Srijan Sengupta

We analyze different types of simulations that applied researchers can use to assess whether their inference methods reliably control false-positive rates. We show that different assessments involve trade-offs, varying in the types of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Bruno Ferman

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Inspired by sample splitting and the reusable holdout introduced in the field of differential privacy, we consider selective inference with a randomized response. We discuss two major advantages of using a randomized response for model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan E. Taylor

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Imbalanced data, where the positive samples represent only a small proportion compared to the negative samples, makes it challenging for classification problems to balance the false positive and false negative rates. A common approach to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Pengfei Lyu , Zhengchi Ma , Linjun Zhang , Anru R. Zhang

Learning generalized models from biased data is an important undertaking toward fairness in deep learning. To address this issue, recent studies attempt to identify and leverage bias-conflicting samples free from spurious correlations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Yeonsung Jung , Jaeyun Song , June Yong Yang , Jin-Hwa Kim , Sung-Yub Kim , Eunho Yang