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This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

The increasing penetration of renewable energy resources in power systems, represented as random processes, converts the traditional deterministic economic dispatch problem into a stochastic one. To solve this stochastic economic dispatch,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-23 Zhixiong Hu , Yijun Xu , Mert Korkali , Xiao Chen , Lamine Mili , Charles H. Tong

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

We present strong approximations with rate of convergence for the solution of a stochastic differential equation of the form $$ dX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dB^H_t, $$ where $b\in C^1_b$, $\sigma \in C^2_b$, $B^H$ is fractional Brownian motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 J. Garzón , L. G. Gorostiza , J. A. León

We establish a general theory of optimal strong error estimation for numerical approximations of a second-order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation with monotone drift driven by a multiplicative infinite-dimensional Wiener…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Zhihui Liu , Zhonghua Qiao

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

The study of multidimensional stochastic processes involves complex computations in intricate functional spaces. In particular, the diffusion processes, which include the practically important Gauss-Markov processes, are ordinarily defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-06 Thibaud Taillefumier , Jonathan Touboul

We use asymptotic methods from the theory of differential equations to obtain an analytical expression for the survival probability of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a potential defined over a broad domain. We form a uniformly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-26 L. T. Giorgini , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We consider an energy storage problem involving a wind farm with a forecasted power output, a stochastic load, an energy storage device, and a connection to the larger power grid with stochastic prices. Electricity prices and wind power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

We present the particle method for simulating the solution to the path-dependent McKean-Vlasov equation, in which both the drift and the diffusion coefficients depend on the whole trajectory of the process up to the current time t, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Armand Bernou , Yating Liu

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

The steady state of the Fokker-Planck equation corresponding to a density dependent one-step process is approximated by a suitable normal distribution. Starting from the master equations of the process, written in terms of the time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Peter L. Simon , Eszter Sikolya

We propose a transfer principle to study the adapted 2-Wasserstein distance between stochastic processes. First, we obtain an explicit formula for the distance between real-valued mean-square continuous Gaussian processes by introducing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yifan Jiang , Fang Rui Lim

We present a simple Markov model of spiking neural dynamics that can be analytically solved to characterize the stochastic dynamics of a finite-size spiking neural network. We give closed-form estimates for the equilibrium distribution,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 H. Soula , C. C. Chow

In this paper a drift-randomized Milstein method is introduced for the numerical solution of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations with non-differentiable drift coefficient functions. Compared to standard Milstein-type methods we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Raphael Kruse , Yue Wu

Stochastic differential equations such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process have long been used to model realworld probablistic events such as stock prices and temperature fluctuations. While statistical methods such as Maximum Likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Aroon Sankoh , Victor Wickerhauser

This paper introduces a drift optimization model of stochastic optimization problems driven by regulated stochastic processes. A broad range of problems across operations research, machine learning, and statistics can be viewed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Zihe Zhou , Harsha Honnappa , Raghu Pasupathy

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

At present, the problem to steer a non-Markovian process with minimum energy between specified end-point marginal distributions remains unsolved. Herein, we consider the special case for a non-Markovian process y(t) which, however, assumes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Daniele Alpago , Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou , Michele Pavon