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We consider a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving a stochastic forcing term in the drift, as a solution of a linear stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. For such process we specify mean and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Giacomo Ascione , Yuliya Mishura , Enrica Pirozzi

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We consider a linear stochastic differential equation with stochastic drift and multiplicative noise. We study the problem of approximating its solution with the process that solves the equation where the possibly stochastic drift is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Giacomo Ascione , Giuseppe D'Onofrio

The simulation of complex stochastic network dynamics arising, for instance, from models of coupled biomolecular processes remains computationally challenging. Often, the necessity to scan a models' dynamics over a large parameter space…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-14 Tiago Ramalho , Marco Selig , Ulrich Gerland , Torsten A. Enßlin

We study pathwise approximation of scalar stochastic differential equations at a single point. We provide the exact rate of convergence of the minimal errors that can be achieved by arbitrary numerical methods that are based (in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Muller-Gronbach

We propose a new approach to constructing a neural network for predicting expectations of stochastic differential equations. The proposed method does not need data sets of inputs and outputs; instead, the information obtained from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Naoki Sugishita , Jun Ohkubo

We present a class of Gauss-Markov processes which can be represented as space-time scaled stationary Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes defined on the real line. We give several explicit examples of the representation for certain Gauss bridge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Matyas Barczy , Peter Kern

The rigorous linking of exact stochastic models to mean-field approximations is studied. Starting from the differential equation point of view the stochastic model is identified by its Kolmogorov equations, which is a system of linear ODEs…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-09-19 András Bátkai , Istvan Z. Kiss , Eszter Sikolya , Péter L. Simon

We investigate the problem of pricing derivatives under a fractional stochastic volatility model. We obtain an approximate expression of the derivative price where the stochastic volatility can be composed of deterministic functions of time…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-28 Yuecai Han , Xudong Zheng

Brown-Resnick processes are max-stable processes that are associated to Gaussian processes. Their simulation is often based on the corresponding spectral representation which is not unique. We study to what extent simulation accuracy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

We propose a method of approximating multivariate Gaussian probabilities using dynamic programming. We show that solving the optimization problem associated with a class of discrete-time finite horizon Markov decision processes with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Morgan Jones , Matthew M. Peet

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We investigate a singular-optimal stopping stochastic control problem driven by self-exciting dynamics governed by a Hawkes process. In the continuous-time setting, we show that the optimization problem reduces to solving a variational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Isabel Agostino , Thibaut Mastrolia

This paper introduces a method to approximate Gaussian process regression by representing the problem as a stochastic differential equation and using variational inference to approximate solutions. The approximations are compared with full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Wil O C Ward , Mauricio A Álvarez

We consider the problem of determining an optimal strategy for electricity injection that faces an uncertain power demand stream. This demand stream is modeled via an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an additional jump component, whereas the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Simone Göttlich , Ralf Korn , Kerstin Lux

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

We view the classical Lindeberg principle in a Markov process setting to establish a probability approximation framework by the associated It\^{o}'s formula and Markov operator. As applications, we study the error bounds of the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Peng Chen , Qi-Man Shao , Lihu Xu

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Hilmar Mai
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