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Weather and climate forecasts are inherently uncertain due to chaotic dynamics, imperfect initial conditions, and incomplete representation of the underlying physical processes. Operational ensemble forecasts aim to represent these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Birgit Kühbacher , Daan Crommelin , Niki Kilbertus

The process of pattern formation for a multi-species model anchored on a time varying network is studied. A non homogeneous perturbation superposed to an homogeneous stable fixed point can amplify, as follows a novel mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Julien Petit , Ben Lauwens , Duccio Fanelli , Timoteo Carletti

We track the secondary bifurcations of coherent states in plane Couette flow and show that they undergo an incomplete periodic doubling cascade that ends with a crisis bifurcation. We introduce a symbolic dynamics for the orbits and show…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-04 Tobias Kreilos , Bruno Eckhardt

Chaotic attractors commonly contain periodic solutions with unstable manifolds of different dimensions. This allows for a zoo of dynamical phenomena not possible for hyperbolic attractors. The purpose of this Letter is to demonstrate these…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-16 P. A. Glendinning , D. J. W. Simpson

A one-parameter family of time-reversible systems on $\mathbb{T}^3$ is considered. It is shown that the dynamics is not conservative, namely the attractor and repeller intersect but not coincide. We explain this as the manifestation of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Alexander S. Gonchenko , Sergey V. Gonchenko , Alexey O. Kazakov , Dmitry V. Turaev

Insight into the blockage vulnerability of evolving spatial networks is important for understanding transport resilience, robustness, and failure of a broad class of real-world structures such as porous media and utility, urban traffic, and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-10-21 Ali Molavi , Hossein Hamzehpour , Reza Shaebani

Non-Hermitian quantum systems can exhibit unique observables characterizing topologically protected transport in the presence of decay. The topological protection arises from winding numbers associated with non-decaying dark states, which…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-05-26 Mark S. Rudner , Michael Levin , Leonid S. Levitov

The stickiness effect suffered by chaotic orbits diffusing in the phase space of a dynamical system is studied in this paper. Previous works have shown that the hyperbolic structures in the phase space play an essential role in causing the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-12-18 Li-Yong ZHOU , Jian LI , Jian CHENG , Yi-Sui SUN

We discovered an oscillatory instability in a system of inelastically colliding hard spheres, driven by two opposite "thermal" walls at zero gravity. The instability, predicted by a linear stability analysis of the equations of granular…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Evgeniy Khain , Baruch Meerson

In presence of unstable dimension variability numerical solutions of chaotic systems are valid only for short periods of observation. For this reason, analytical results for systems that exhibit this phenomenon are needed. Aiming to go one…

A well-behaved adjoint sensitivity technique for chaotic dynamical systems is presented. The method arises from the specialisation of established variational techniques to the unstable periodic orbits of the system. On such trajectories,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-12 Davide Lasagna

Weather regimes provide a useful framework for describing large-scale atmospheric variability and its impacts on regional weather. Despite extensive study, there is still no universally accepted definition or method for identifying weather…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Soheil Anbouhi

Strong nonlinear effects combined with diffusive coupling may give rise to unpredictable evolution in spatially extended deterministic dynamical systems even in the presence of a fully negative spectrum of Lyapunov exponents. This regime,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 F. Ginelli , R. Livi , A. Politi

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

In the theory of renormalization for classical dynamical systems, e.g. unimodal maps and critical circle maps, topological conjugacy classes are stable manifolds of renormalization. Physically more realistic systems on the other hand may…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Marco Martens , Björn Winckler

Linearly stable shear flows first transition to turbulence in the form of localised patches. At low Reynolds numbers, these turbulent patches tend to suddenly decay, following a memoryless process typical of rare events. How far in advance…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-10 Daniel Morón , Alberto Vela-Martín , Marc Avila

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

For applications of machine learning in critical decisions, explainability is a primary concern, and often a regulatory requirement. Local linear methods for generating explanations, such as LIME and SHAP, have been criticized for being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Joseph L. Breeden

In this numerical study, recurrence quantification analysis of chaotic trajectories is explored to detect atypical dynamical behaviour in non-linear Hamiltonian systems. An ensemble of initial conditions is evolved up to a maximum iteration…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Matheus S. Palmero , Flavio H. Graciano , Edson D. Leonel , Juliano A. de Oliveira

In this paper we consider the one dimensional spring-block model describing earthquake faulting. By using geometric singular perturbation theory and the blow-up method we provide a detailed description of the periodicity of the earthquake…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Elena Bossolini , Morten Brøns , Kristian Uldall Kristiansen