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Related papers: ODIN: ODE-Informed Regression for Parameter and St…

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Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

This paper addresses the problem of state and parameter estimation for a class of second-order systems with single output. A new filtered transformation is proposed for the system via dynamic vector and matrix. In this method, the dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Mehdi Tavan , Kamel Sabahi , Saeid Hoseinzadeh

Parameter estimation for nonlinear dynamic system models, represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), using noisy and sparse data is a vital task in many fields. We propose a fast and accurate method, MAGI (MAnifold-constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Shihao Yang , Samuel W. K. Wong , S. C. Kou

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs) play a paramount role in analyzing and simulating complex dynamic processes across all corners of science and engineering. In recent years machine learning tools are aspiring to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Sifan Wang , Paris Perdikaris

Many processes in biology, chemistry, physics, medicine, and engineering are modeled by a system of differential equations. Such a system is usually characterized via unknown parameters and estimating their 'true' value is thus required. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Itai Dattner , Chris A. J. Klaassen

Sparse regression has emerged as a popular technique for learning dynamical systems from temporal data, beginning with the SINDy (Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics) framework proposed by arXiv:1509.03580. Quantifying the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Sara Venkatraman , Sumanta Basu , Martin T. Wells

In many applications it is desirable to infer coarse-grained models from observational data. The observed process often corresponds only to a few selected degrees of freedom of a high-dimensional dynamical system with multiple time scales.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Serafim Kalliadasis , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Recent advances in generative artificial intelligence have had a significant impact on diverse domains spanning computer vision, natural language processing, and drug discovery. This work extends the reach of generative models into physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Christian Jacobsen , Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Moad Abudia , Opeyemi Owolabi , Joel A. Rosenfeld , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Gaussian graphical regressions have emerged as a powerful approach for regressing the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates, which, unlike traditional Gaussian graphical models, can help determine how graphs are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-17 Xuran Meng , Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

We formulate probabilistic numerical approximations to solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as problems in Gaussian process (GP) regression with non-linear measurement functions. This is achieved by defining the measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-25 Filip Tronarp , Hans Kersting , Simo Särkkä , Philipp Hennig

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Mechanical systems are often characterized only by their response to certain loads known from experiments or simulations. The obtained data can be used for various purposes: system analysis, design of mathematical models, or construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Yevgeniya Filanova , Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Ordinary and stochastic differential equations (ODEs and SDEs) are widely used to model continuous-time processes across various scientific fields. While ODEs offer interpretability and simplicity, SDEs incorporate randomness, providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Qingchuan Sun , Susanne Ditlevsen

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

In this paper, we apply the recently developed generalized parameter estimation-based observer design technique for state-affine systems to the practically important case of linear time-varying descriptor systems with uncertain parameters.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Castanos , Nikolay Nikolaev

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

This work describes the implementation of a data-driven approach for the reduction of the complexity of parametrical partial differential equations (PDEs) employing Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) and Gaussian Process Regression…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Giulio Ortali , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza