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Related papers: ODIN: ODE-Informed Regression for Parameter and St…

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Although it is widely known that Gaussian processes can be conditioned on observations of the gradient, this functionality is of limited use due to the prohibitive computational cost of $\mathcal{O}(N^3 D^3)$ in data points $N$ and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Filip de Roos , Alexandra Gessner , Philipp Hennig

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are widely used for the description of physical and engineering phenomena. Some key parameters involved in PDEs, which represent certain physical properties with important scientific interpretations,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Zhaohui Li , Shihao Yang , Jeff Wu

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are central to scientific modelling, but inferring their vector fields from noisy trajectories remains challenging. Current approaches such as symbolic regression, Gaussian process (GP) regression, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Maximilian Mauel , Johannes R. Hübers , David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Recently, Gaussian processes have been used to model the vector field of continuous dynamical systems, referred to as GPODEs, which are characterized by a probabilistic ODE equation. Bayesian inference for these models has been extensively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Jian Xu , Shian Du , Junmei Yang , Xinghao Ding , John Paisley , Delu Zeng

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are commonly used to model dynamic behavior of a system. Because many parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from the observed data, there is growing interest in statistics to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Xin Qi , Hongyu Zhao

We implemented a gradient-based algorithm for transition state search which uses Gaussian process regression. Besides a description of the algorithm, we provide a method to find the starting point for the optimization if only the reactant…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-09-15 Alexander Denzel , Johannes Kästner

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Methods based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to build generative models of time-series. In addition to high computational overhead due to explicitly computing hidden states recurrence, existing ODE-based models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-07 Linqi Zhou , Michael Poli , Winnie Xu , Stefano Massaroli , Stefano Ermon

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

In this paper, a concurrent learning based adaptive observer is developed for a class of second-order linear time-invariant systems with uncertain system matrices. The developed technique yields an exponentially convergent state estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Solution of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model of dynamical system may not agree with its observed values. Often this discrepancy can be attributed to unmodeled forcings in the evolution rule of the dynamical system. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Saurabh Dixit , Soumyendu Raha

Estimation of parameters is a crucial part of model development. When models are deterministic, one can minimise the fitting error; for stochastic systems one must be more careful. Broadly parameterisation methods for stochastic dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Asbjørn N. Riseth , Jake P. Taylor-King

Gaussian process (GP) regression with 1D inputs can often be performed in linear time via a stochastic differential equation formulation. However, for non-Gaussian likelihoods, this requires application of approximate inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Paul E. Chang , William J. Wilkinson , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

Estimating the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is of fundamental importance in many scientific applications. While ODEs are typically approximated with deterministic algorithms, new research on probabilistic solvers…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-08 Mohan Wu , Martin Lysy

We present a new microscopic ODE-based model for pedestrian dynamics: the Gradient Navigation Model. The model uses a superposition of gradients of distance functions to directly change the direction of the velocity vector. The velocity is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-06-11 Felix Dietrich , Gerta Köster

We aim to identify the generating, ordinary differential equation (ODE) from a set of trajectories of a partially observed system. Our approach does not need prescribed basis functions to learn the ODE model, but only a rich set of Neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-13 Niklas Heim , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga
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