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We propose new small-sphere distributional families for modeling multivariate directional data on $(\mathbb{S}^{p-1})^K$ for $p \ge 3$ and $K \ge 1$. In a special case of univariate directions in $\Re^3$, the new densities model random…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Byungwon Kim , Stephan Huckemann , Jörn Schulz , Sungkyu Jung

We apply split conformal prediction techniques to regression problems with circular responses by introducing a suitable conformity score, leading to prediction sets with adaptive arc length and finite-sample coverage guarantees for any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Paulo C. Marques F. , Rinaldo Artes , Helton Graziadei

Following Poupard's study of strictly ordered binary trees with respect to two parameters, namely, "end of minimal chain" and "parent of maximum leaf" a true Tree Calculus is being developed to solve a partial difference equation system and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Dominique Foata , Guo-Niu Han

We introduce the Pitman Yor Diffusion Tree (PYDT) for hierarchical clustering, a generalization of the Dirichlet Diffusion Tree (Neal, 2001) which removes the restriction to binary branching structure. The generative process is described…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-17 David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

This work studies the variation in Kullback-Leibler divergence between random draws from some popular nonparametric processes and their baseline measure. In particular we focus on the Dirichlet process, the P\'olya tree and the frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 James Watson , Luis Nieto-Barajas , Chris Holmes

Distribution data refers to a data set where each sample is represented as a probability distribution, a subject area receiving burgeoning interest in the field of statistics. Although several studies have developed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

The tail of a bivariate distribution function in the domain of attraction of a bivariate extreme-value distribution may be approximated by the one of its extreme-value attractor. The extreme-value attractor has margins that belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Simon Guillotte , Francois Perron , Johan Segers

Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-10 Alexandre K. W. Navarro , Jes Frellsen , Richard E. Turner

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

In this paper we investigate undirected discrete graphical tree models when all the variables in the system are binary, where leaves represent the observable variables and where all the inner nodes are unobserved. A novel approach based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-06 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

Bayesian networks are directed acyclic graphs representing independence relationships among a set of random variables. A random variable can be regarded as a set of exhaustive and mutually exclusive propositions. We argue that there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Dekang Lin

Bivariate normal distributions are often used to describe the joint probability density of a pair of random variables. These distributions arise across many domains, from telecommunications, to meteorology, ballistics, and computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Emily A. Cooper , Hany Farid

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Many data problems contain some reference or normal conditions, upon which to compare newly collected data. This scenario occurs in data collected as part of clinical trials to detect adverse events, or for measuring climate change against…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Annalisa Calvi , Ursula Laa , Dianne Cook

We study the fundamental question of how likely it is that two randomly chosen trees are isomorphic to each other for different models of random trees. We show that the probability decays exponentially for rooted labeled trees as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Christoffer Olsson

Angle halving, or alternatively the reverse operation of angle doubling, is a useful tool when studying directional distributions. It is especially useful on the circle where, in particular, it yields an identification between the wrapped…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 John T. Kent

Spectral clustering views the similarity matrix as a weighted graph, and partitions the data by minimizing a graph-cut loss. Since it minimizes the across-cluster similarity, there is no need to model the distribution within each cluster.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

The purpose of this paper is to analyze certain statistics of a recently introduced non-uniform random tree model, biased recursive trees. This model is based on constructing a random tree by establishing a correspondence with non-uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Ella Hiesmayr , Ümit Işlak

We exploit Gaussian copulas to specify a class of multivariate circular distributions and obtain parametric models for the analysis of correlated circular data. This approach provides a straightforward extension of traditional multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione