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Related papers: Projected P\'olya Tree

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P\'{o}lya trees fix partitions and use random probabilities in order to construct random probability measures. With quantile pyramids we instead fix probabilities and use random partitions. For nonparametric Bayesian inference we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

The beta distribution is a basic distribution serving several purposes. It is used to model data, and also, as a more flexible version of the uniform distribution, it serves as a prior distribution for a binomial probability. The bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 Ingram Olkin , Thomas A. Trikalinos

The hierarchical and recursive expressive capability of rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. On the other hand, such hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

P\'olya trees are rooted, unlabeled trees on $n$ vertices. This paper gives an efficient, new way to generate P\'olya trees. This allows comparing typical unlabeled and labeled tree statistics and comparing asymptotic theorems with…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Laurent Bartholdi , Persi Diaconis

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Computing and storing probabilities is a hard problem as soon as one has to deal with complex distributions over multiple random variables. The problem of efficient representation of probability distributions is central in term of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-16 David Bellot , Pierre Bessiere

This paper proposes a novel approach for statistical modelling of a continuous random variable $X$ on $[0, 1)$, based on its digit representation $X=.X_1X_2\ldots$. In general, $X$ can be coupled with a latent random variable $N$ so that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Mario Beraha , Jesper Møller

In this paper, we propose a discrete circular distribution obtained by extending the wrapped Poisson distribution. This new distribution, the Invariant Wrapped Poisson (IWP), enjoys numerous advantages: simple tractable density,…

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

We introduce the boolean convolution for probability measures on the unit circle. Roughly speaking, it describes the distribution of the product of two boolean independent unitary random variables. We find an analogue of the characteristic…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-06-13 Uwe Franz

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park

The contribution of this work is the introduction of a multivariate circular-linear (or poly- cylindrical) distribution obtained by combining the projected and the skew-normal. We show the flexibility of our proposal, its property of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Gianluca Mastrantonio

We propose a model-based clustering algorithm for a general class of functional data for which the components could be curves or images. The random functional data realizations could be measured with error at discrete, and possibly random,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

We consider a probability distribution on the set of Boolean functions in n variables which is induced by random Boolean expressions. Such an expression is a random rooted plane tree where the internal vertices are labelled with connectives…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-09-28 Antoine Genitrini , Bernhard Gittenberger , Veronika Kraus , Cécile Mailler

Objective probabilistic forecasts of future climate that include parameter uncertainty can be made by using the Bayesian prediction integral with the prior set to Jeffreys' Prior. The calculations involved in determining the prior can then…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-05-24 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

Consider a uniform variate on the unit upper-half sphere of dimension $d$. It is known that the straight-line projection through the center of the unit sphere onto the plane above it distributes this variate according to a $d$-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Jonathan Dupuy , Laurent Belcour , Eric Heitz

A new nonparametric approach, based on a decision tree algorithm, is proposed to calculate the overlap between two probability distributions. The devised framework is described analytically and numerically. The convergence of the estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Hisashi Johno , Kazunori Nakamoto