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In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We regard options on VIX and Realised Variance as solutions to path-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) in a continuous stochastic volatility model. The modeling assumption specifies that the instantaneous variance is a $C^3$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alexandre Pannier

We consider a class of graph-valued stochastic processes in which each vertex has a type that fluctuates randomly over time. Collectively, the paths of the vertex types up to a given time determine the probabilities that the edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We consider the regularity of sample paths of Volterra processes. These processes are defined as stochastic integrals $$ M(t)=\int_{0}^{t}F(t,r)dX(r), \ \ t \in \mathds{R}_{+}, $$ where $X$ is a semimartingale and $F$ is a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Leonid Mytnik , Eyal Neuman

Stochastic Volterra equations (SVEs) serve as mathematical models for the time evolutions of random systems with memory effects and irregular behaviour. We introduce neural stochastic Volterra equations as a physics-inspired architecture,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Martin Bergerhausen , David J. Prömel , David Scheffels

We present a path integral method to derive closed-form solutions for option prices in a stochastic volatility model. The method is explained in detail for the pricing of a plain vanilla option. The flexibility of our approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 D. Lemmens , M. Wouters , J. Tempere , S. Foulon

We present a tractable non-independent increment process which provides a high modeling flexibility. The process lies on an extension of the so-called Harris chains to continuous time being stationary and Feller. We exhibit constructions,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-19 Michelle Anzarut , Ramses H. Mena

This papers develops a stochastic integration theory with respect to volatility modulated L\'{e}vy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes. It extends recent results in the literature to allow for stochastic volatility and pure jump processes in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Jan Pedersen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We provide a unifying treatment of pathwise moderate deviations for models commonly used in financial applications, and for related integrated functionals. Suitable scaling allows us to transfer these results into small-time, large-time and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-04 Antoine Jacquier , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider the regularity of sample paths of Volterra-L\'{e}vy processes. These processes are defined as stochastic integrals $$ M(t)=\int_{0}^{t}F(t,r)dX(r), \ \ t \in \mathds{R}_{+}, $$ where $X$ is a L\'{e}vy process and $F$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Eyal Neuman

We propose a finite difference scheme to simulate solutions to a certain type of hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equation (HSPDE). These solutions can in turn estimate so called volatility modulated Volterra (VMV) processes and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Fred Espen Benth , Heidar Eyjolfsson

We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary H\"older continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation which ensures the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

We derive the price of a spread option based on two assets which follow a bivariate volatility modulated Volterra process dynamics. Such a price dynamics is particularly relevant in energy markets, modelling for example the spot price of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Fred Espen Benth , Hanna Zdanowicz

This note develops a stochastic model of asset volatility. The volatility obeys a continuous-time autoregressive equation. Conditions under which the process is asymptotically stationary and possesses long memory are characterised.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-28 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels , Katja Krol

This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Jinniao Qiu , Antony Ware , Yang Yang

We extend upon the saddle-point equation presented in [1] to derive large-time model-implied volatility smiles, providing its theoretical foundation and studying its applications in classical models. As long as characteristic function…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Chun Yat Yeung , Ali Hirsa

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the variance process satisfies a stochastic Volterra equation with the fractional kernel, as in the rough Bergomi and the rough Heston model. In particular, the variance process is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-19 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

We explore a link between stochastic volatility (SV) and path-dependent volatility (PDV) models. Using assumed density filtering, we map a given SV model into a corresponding PDV representation. The resulting specification is lightweight,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Samuel N. Cohen , Cephas Svosve

In industrial applications it is quite common to use stochastic volatility models driven by semi-martingale Markov volatility processes. However, in order to fit exactly market volatilities, these models are usually extended by adding a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Enrico Dall'Acqua , Riccardo Longoni , Andrea Pallavicini