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It is common to use a compartmental, fluid model described by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to model disease spread. In addition to their simplicity, these models are also the mean-field approximations of more accurate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-15 Benjamin Armbruster , Ekkehard Beck

We introduce the concept of {\it mean-field optimal control} which is the rigorous limit process connecting finite dimensional optimal control problems with ODE constraints modeling multi-agent interactions to an infinite dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Massimo Fornasier , Francesco Solombrino

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

In this paper, a stochastic dynamic control strategy is presented to prevent the spread of an infection over a homogeneous network. The infectious process is persistent, i.e., it continues to contaminate the network once it is established.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

We introduce the rigorous limit process connecting finite dimensional sparse optimal control problems with ODE constraints, modeling parsimonious interventions on the dynamics of a moving population divided into leaders and followers, to an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Massimo Fornasier , Benedetto Piccoli , Francesco Rossi

The paper describes and compares three approaches to modeling an epidemic spread. The first approach is a well-known system of SIR ordinary differential equations. The second is a mean-field model, in which an isolation strategy for each…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Viktoriya Petrakova , Olga Krivorotko

This paper considers the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with an underlying network structure among subpopulations and focuses on the effect of social distancing to regulate the epidemic level. We demonstrate that if…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-09 Yuan Wang , Sebin Gracy , Hideaki Ishii , Karl Henrik Johansson

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

With the rapid development of AI and robotics, transporting a large swarm of networked robots has foreseeable applications in the near future. Existing research in swarm robotics has mainly followed a bottom-up philosophy with predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Tongjia Zheng , Qing Han , Hai Lin

The current COVID-19 pandemic has proven that proper control and prevention of infectious disease require creating and enforcing the appropriate public policies. One critical policy imposed by the policymakers is encouraging the population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-04 Samuel Cho

We consider a stochastic SIS infection model for a population partitioned into $m$ households assuming random mixing. We solve the model in the limit $m \to \infty$ by using the self-consistent field method of statistical physics. We derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ghoshal , L. M. Sander , I. M. Sokolov

Metapopulation epidemic models help capture the spatial dimension of infectious disease spread by dividing heterogeneous populations into separate but interconnected communities, represented by nodes in a network. In the event of an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-21 Henrik Zunker , Philipp Dönges , Patrick Lenz , Seba Contreras , Martin J. Kühn

In this paper we make the first steps to bridge the gap between classic control theory and modern, network-based epidemic models. In particular, we apply nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) to a pairwise ODE model which we use to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Fanni Sélley , Ádám Besenyei , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

The susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model has been used extensively to model disease spread and other processes. Despite the widespread usage of this ordinary differential equation (ODE) based model which represents the mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Ekkehard Beck , Benjamin Armbruster

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

We consider a generic, suitable class of optimal control problems under a constraint given by a finite-dimensional SDE-ODE system, describing a system of two interacting species of particles: the herd, described by SDEs, and the herders,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Giuseppe La Scala

The interplay between disease spreading and personal risk perception is of key importance for modelling the spread of infectious diseases. We propose a planar system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to describe the co-evolution of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Massimo A. Achterberg , Mattia Sensi
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