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Prediction of solar activity cycles is challenging because physical processes inside the Sun involve a broad range of multiscale dynamics that no model can reproduce and because the available observations are highly limited and cover mostly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-30 Irina N. Kitiashvili

The dynamic activity of stars such as the Sun influences (exo)planetary space environments through modulation of stellar radiation, plasma wind, particle and magnetic fluxes. Energetic stellar phenomena such as flares and coronal mass…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Prantika Bhowmik , Jie Jiang , Lisa Upton , Alexandre Lemerle , Dibyendu Nandy

The dynamic activity of the Sun, governed by its cycle of sunspots -- strongly magnetized regions that are observed on its surface -- modulate our solar system space environment creating space weather. Severe space weather leads to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-26 Aleix Espuña-Fontcuberta , Saikat Chatterjee , Dhrubaditya Mitra , Dibyendu Nandy

The study of variations in solar activity is important for understanding the underlying mechanism of solar activity and for predicting the level of activity in view of the activity impact on space weather and global climate. Here we have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 J. Javaraiah

Solar activities have a great impact on modern high-tech systems, such as human aerospace, satellite communication and navigation, deep space exploration, and related scientific research. Therefore, studying the long - term evolution trend…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-21 Peixin Luo , Baolin Tan

Magnetic activity cycles are an important phenomenon in both the Sun and other stars. The shape of the solar cycle is commonly characterised by a fast rise and a slower decline, but not much attention has been paid to the shape of cycles in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-01 T. Willamo , T. Hackman , J. J. Lehtinen , M. J. Käpylä , N. Olspert , M. Viviani , J. Warnecke

The prediction of the strength of future solar cycles is of interest because of its practical significance for space weather and as a test of our theoretical understanding of the solar cycle. The Babcock-Leighton mechanism allows…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-29 Jie Jiang , Jing-Xiu Wang , Qi-Rong Jiao , Jin-Bin Cao

We investigate spatio-temporal evolution of high-degree acoustic mode frequencies of the Sun and the surface magnetic activity, over the course of multiple solar cycles, to improve our understanding of the connection between the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-20 Mackenzie A. Baird , Sushanta C. Tripathy , Kiran Jain

Solar flares, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, have a profound impact on both the Earth's space environment and human activities. As a result, accurate solar flare prediction has emerged as a central topic in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Mingfu Shao , Suo Liu , Haiqing Xu , Peng Jia , Hui Wang , Liyue Tong , Yang Bai , Chen Yang , Yuyang Li , Nan Li , Jiaben Lin

In the previous study (Hiremath 2006a), the solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and from all the 22 cycles (1755-1996), long-term amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factor are obtained. Using these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. M. Hiremath

Presented here is a review of present knowledge of the long-term behavior of solar activity on a multi-millennial timescale, as reconstructed using the indirect proxy method. The concept of solar activity is discussed along with an overview…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-19 Ilya G. Usoskin

The forthcoming solar cycle (SC) 25 was beleived to be rather low when using the sunspot number (SN) as a measurement of the level of activity. The most popular prediction was made by the panel of NASA in 2019, including works based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-19 S. Koutchmy , B. Filippov , E. Tavabi , J-C. Noens , O. Wurmser

It is shown that the description of the solar cycle that takes into account the odd zonal harmonic of the solar magnetic field allows us to deepen our knowledge of two important aspects of the solar activity. First, to clarify and expand…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-02 V. N. Obridko , D. D. Sokoloff , M. M. Katsova

Forecasting future solar activity has become crucial in our modern world, where intense eruptive phenomena mostly occurring during solar maximum are likely to be strongly damaging to satellites and telecommunications. We present a 4D…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-02 L. Jouve , C. P. Hung , A. S. Brun , S. Hazra , A. Fournier , O. Talagrand , B. Perri , A. Strugarek

This article reviews some of the leading results obtained in solar dynamo physics by using temporal oscillator models as a tool to interpret observational data and dynamo model predictions. We discuss how solar observational data such as…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-21 Ilídio Lopes , Dário Passos , Melinda Nagy , Kristof Petrovay

A new formula for predicting solar cycles based on the current theoretical understanding of the solar cycle from flux transport dynamo is presented. Two important processes---fluctuations in the Babcock-Leighton mechanism and variations in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-07 Gopal Hazra , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Forecasting the solar cycle amplitude is important for a better understanding of the solar dynamo as well as for many space weather applications. We demonstrated a steady relationship between the maximal growth rate of sunspot activity in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Tatiana Podladchikova , Shantanu Jain , Astrid M. Veronig , Olga Sutyrina , Mateja Dumbovic , Frederic Clette , Werner Poetzi

The solar activity cycle is a manifestation of the hydromagnetic dynamo working inside our star. The detection of activity cycles in solar-like stars and the study of their properties allow us to put the solar dynamo in perspective,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 A. F. Lanza

Solar energy forecasting has seen tremendous growth in the last decade using historical time series collected from a weather station, such as weather variables wind speed and direction, solar radiance, and temperature. It helps in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Soham Vyas , Yuvraj Goyal , Neel Bhatt , Sanskar Bhuwania , Hardik Patel , Shakti Mishra , Brijesh Tripathi

We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar magnetic field and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 N. Gopalswamy , P. Makela , S. Yashiro , S. Akiyama