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We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

It is the purpose of this paper to investigate the issue of estimating the regularity index $\beta>0$ of a discrete heavy-tailed r.v. $S$, \textit{i.e.} a r.v. $S$ valued in $\mathbb{N}^*$ such that $\mathbb{P}(S>n)=L(n)\cdot n^{-\beta}$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon , Carlos Fernández

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

In this paper, we investigate the extreme-value methodology, to propose an improved estimator of the conditional tail expectation ($CTE$) for a loss distribution with a finite mean but infinite variance. The present work introduces a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Mohamed Laidi , Abdelaziz Rassoul , Hamid Ould Rouis

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

We propose estimating the scale parameter (mean of the eigenvalues) of the scatter matrix of an unspecified elliptically symmetric distribution using weights obtained by solving Tyler's M-estimator of the scatter matrix. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Esa Ollila , Daniel P. Palomar , Frederic Pascal

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Shyam Narayanan

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Daniel Hsu , Sivan Sabato

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

Determining the number of factors in high-dimensional factor modeling is essential but challenging, especially when the data are heavy-tailed. In this paper, we introduce a new estimator based on the spectral properties of Spearman sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jiaxin Qiu , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

We study the fundamental task of outlier-robust mean estimation for heavy-tailed distributions in the presence of sparsity. Specifically, given a small number of corrupted samples from a high-dimensional heavy-tailed distribution whose mean…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Ankit Pensia

Let $\mathcal{Z} = \{Z_1, \dots, Z_n\} \stackrel{\mathrm{i.i.d.}}{\sim} P \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ from a distribution $P$ with mean zero and covariance $\Sigma$. Given a dataset $\mathcal{X}$ such that $d_{\mathrm{ham}}(\mathcal{X},…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-03-03 John Duchi , Saminul Haque , Rohith Kuditipudi

Assume that $X_{1}, \ldots, X_{N}$ is an $\varepsilon$-contaminated sample of $N$ independent Gaussian vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with mean $\mu$ and covariance $\Sigma$. In the strong $\varepsilon$-contamination model we assume that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Arshak Minasyan , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study the problem of computationally efficient robust estimation of the covariance/scatter matrix of elliptical distributions -- that is, affine transformations of spherically symmetric distributions -- under the strong contamination…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Gleb Novikov
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