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We present a new quantum algorithm for estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable obtained as the output of a quantum computation. Our estimator achieves a nearly-optimal quadratic speedup over the number of classical i.i.d.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-16 Yassine Hamoudi

This paper develops an efficient Monte Carlo method to estimate the tail probabilities of the ratio of the largest eigenvalue to the trace of the Wishart matrix, which plays an important role in multivariate data analysis. The estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu

We introduce a new class of heavy-tailed distributions for which any weighted average of independent and identically distributed random variables is larger than one such random variable in (usual) stochastic order. We show that many…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Yuyu Chen , Seva Shneer

We propose a new testing procedure about the tail weight parameter of multivariate Student $t$ distributions by having recourse to the Le Cam methodology. Our test is asymptotically as efficient as the classical likelihood ratio test, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-10 Christophe Ley , Anouk Neven

For highly skewed or fat-tailed distributions, mean or median-based methods often fail to capture the central tendencies in the data. Despite being a viable alternative, estimating the conditional mode given certain covariates (or mode…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Eduardo Schirmer Finn , Eduardo Horta

We study the minimal sample size N=N(n) that suffices to estimate the covariance matrix of an n-dimensional distribution by the sample covariance matrix in the operator norm, with an arbitrary fixed accuracy. We establish the optimal bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-04 Nikhil Srivastava , Roman Vershynin

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of a particular multivariate risk measure, the Covariate-Conditional-Tail-Expectation (CCTE), based on a multivariate statistical depth function. Depth functions have become…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Armaut Elisabeth , Diel Roland , Laloë Thomas

We consider applying stochastic approximation (SA) methods to solve nonsmooth variational inclusion problems. Existing studies have shown that the averaged iterates of SA methods exhibit asymptotic normality, with an optimal limiting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-13 Liwei Jiang , Abhishek Roy , Krishna Balasubramanian , Damek Davis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Sen Na

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

We study the problem of linear regression where both covariates and responses are potentially (i) heavy-tailed and (ii) adversarially contaminated. Several computationally efficient estimators have been proposed for the simpler setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

The estimation of large covariance matrices has a high dimensional bias. Correcting for this bias can be reformulated via the tool of Free Probability Theory as a free deconvolution. The goal of this work is a computational and statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Slim Kammoun , Mauricio Velasco

A common object to describe the extremal dependence of a $d$-variate random vector $X$ is the stable tail dependence function $L$. Various parametric models have emerged, with a popular subclass consisting of those stable tail dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Alexis Boulin , Axel Bücher

We study estimation of the covariance matrix under relative condition number loss $\kappa(\Sigma^{-1/2} \hat{\Sigma} \Sigma^{-1/2})$, where $\kappa(\Delta)$ is the condition number of matrix $\Delta$, and $\hat{\Sigma}$ and $\Sigma$ are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 David L. Donoho , Behrooz Ghorbani

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

A new multivariate integer-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic process based on a multivariate Poisson generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is proposed. The estimation of parameters of the proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yuhyeong Jang , Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

In statistics and machine learning, people are often interested in the eigenvectors (or singular vectors) of certain matrices (e.g. covariance matrices, data matrices, etc). However, those matrices are usually perturbed by noises or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Weichen Wang , Yiqiao Zhong

This article studies the \emph{robust covariance matrix estimation} of a data collection $X = (x_1,\ldots,x_n)$ with $x_i = \sqrt \tau_i z_i + m$, where $z_i \in \mathbb R^p$ is a \textit{concentrated vector} (e.g., an elliptical random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet
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