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Atypical, rare trajectories of dynamical systems are important: they are often the paths for chemical reactions, the haven of (relative) stability of planetary systems, the rogue waves that are detected in oil platforms, the structures that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-12 Cristian Giardina , Jorge Kurchan , Vivien Lecomte , Julien Tailleur

We demonstrate the real-time detection of dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) in lattice-confined spinor gases subject to a priori unknown time-variant interactions, via the temporal behaviors of both the system energy and spinor phases…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2026-04-07 J. O. Austin-Harris , Z. N. Hardesty-Shaw , C. Binegar , P. Sigdel , T. Bilitewski , Y. Liu

Rare events are processes that occur upon the emergence of unlikely fluctuations. Unlike what their name suggests, rare events are fairly ubiquitous in nature, as the occurrence of many structural transformations in biology and material…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-26 Sarwar Hussain , Amir Haji-Akbari

Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3}$ or less) of occurring according to a probability model. In the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

We present three algorithms for calculating rate constants and sampling transition paths for rare events in simulations with stochastic dynamics. The methods do not require a priori knowledge of the phase space density and are suitable for…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Rosalind J. Allen , Daan Frenkel , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

In this PhD thesis, I investigate the properties of symmetry-breaking dynamical phase transitions that manifest in the fluctuations of time-integrated observables within classical systems. In particular, I analyze how these phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-08 Rubén Hurtado-Gutiérrez

Dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) in the space of trajectories are one of the most intriguing phenomena of nonequilibrium physics, but their nature in realistic high-dimensional systems remains puzzling. Here we observe for the first time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-07 N. Tizón-Escamilla , C. Pérez-Espigares , P. L. Garrido , P. I. Hurtado

We use importance sampling in a redefined way to highlight and investigate rare events in the form of trajectories trapped inside a target coherent set. We take a transfer operator approach to finding these sets on a reconstructed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-16 Meagan Carney , Holger Kantz

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Symmetry-breaking dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) abound in the fluctuations of nonequilibrium systems. Here we show that the spectral features of a particular class of DPTs exhibit the fingerprints of the recently discovered…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-22 R. Hurtado-Gutiérrez , F. Carollo , C. Pérez-Espigares , P. I. Hurtado

In this paper we address the use of rare event computation techniques to estimate small over-threshold probabilities of observables in determin-istic dynamical systems. We demonstrate that the genealogical particle analysis algorithms can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-21 Jeroen Wouters , Freddy Bouchet

I give an overview of rare event simulation techniques to generate dynamical pathways across high free energy barriers. The methods on which I will concentrate are the reactive flux approach, transition path sampling, (replica-exchange)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 Titus S. van Erp

This article reviews the concepts and methods of variational path sampling. These methods allow computational studies of rare events in systems driven arbitrarily far from equilibrium. Based upon a statistical mechanics of trajectory space…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-02-05 Aditya N. Singh , Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

Rare event sampling algorithms are essential for understanding processes that occur infrequently on the molecular scale, yet they are important for the long-time dynamics of complex molecular systems. One of these algorithms, transition…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-19 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Baron Peters , Peter G. Bolhuis , Christoph Dellago

We study rare events in systems of diffusive fields driven out of equilibrium by the boundaries. We present a numerical technique and use it to calculate the probabilities of rare events in one and two dimensions. Using this technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-10 Guy Bunin , Yariv Kafri , Daniel Podolsky

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Phase transitions are a fundamental concept in science describing diverse phenomena ranging from, e.g., the freezing of water to Bose-Einstein condensation. While the concept is well-established in equilibrium, similarly fundamental…

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