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Decision forests, including random forests and gradient boosting trees, remain the leading machine learning methods for many real-world data problems, especially on tabular data. However, most of the current implementations only operate in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Haoyin Xu , Jayanta Dey , Sambit Panda , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Predicting rare outcomes such as startup success is central to venture capital, demanding models that are both accurate and interpretable. We introduce Random Rule Forest (RRF), a lightweight ensemble method that uses a large language model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Ben Griffin , Diego Vidaurre , Ugur Koyluoglu , Joseph Ternasky , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive performance, but high-quality uncertainty estimates are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-30 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

We present convincing empirical evidence for an effective and general strategy for building accurate small models. Such models are attractive for interpretability and also find use in resource-constrained environments. The strategy is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Abhishek Ghose

We develop a Bayesian tree ensemble model to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with high-dimensional covariates. Instead of imposing sparsity through the tree structure, we place a horseshoe prior directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tijn Jacobs , Wessel N. van Wieringen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas

The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

Estimation of individual treatment effect in observational data is complicated due to the challenges of confounding and selection bias. A useful inferential framework to address this is the counterfactual (potential outcomes) model which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Min Lu , Saad Sadiq , Daniel J. Feaster , Hemant Ishwaran

Genomics has revolutionized biology, enabling the interrogation of whole transcriptomes, genome-wide binding sites for proteins, and many other molecular processes. However, individual genomic assays measure elements that interact in vivo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Sumanta Basu , Karl Kumbier , James B. Brown , Bin Yu

Despite the latest prevailing success of deep neural networks (DNNs), several concerns have been raised against their usage, including the lack of intepretability the gap between DNNs and other well-established machine learning models, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Jianghao Shen , Sicheng Wang , Zhangyang Wang

A fully nonparametric approach for making probabilistic predictions in multi-response regression problems is introduced. Random forests are used as marginal models for each response variable and, as novel contribution of the present work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Random Forest is an ensemble of decision trees based on the bagging and random subspace concepts. As suggested by Breiman, the strength of unstable learners and the diversity among them are the ensemble models' core strength. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 M. A. Ganaie , M. Tanveer , P. N. Suganthan , V. Snasel

K-nearest neighbor (kNN) search has wide applications in many areas, including data mining, machine learning, statistics and many applied domains. Inspired by the success of ensemble methods and the flexibility of tree-based methodology, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Donghui Yan , Yingjie Wang , Jin Wang , Honggang Wang , Zhenpeng Li

Random forests are among the most famous algorithms for solving classification problems, in particular for large-scale data sets. Considering a set of labeled points and several decision trees, the method takes the majority vote to classify…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Jan Pablo Burgard , Maria Eduarda Pinheiro , Martin Schmidt

Systematic sampling is often used to select plot locations for forest inventory estimation. However, it is not possible to derive a design-unbiased variance estimator for a systematic sample using one random start. As a result, many forest…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-22 Chad Babcock , Andrew O. Finley , Timothy G. Gregoire , Hans-Erik Andersen

Sampling-based motion planners perform exceptionally well in robotic applications that operate in high-dimensional space. However, most works often constrain the planning workspace rooted at some fixed locations, do not adaptively reason on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Tin Lai

Forecasting the hospitalizations caused by the Influenza virus is vital for public health planning so that hospitals can be better prepared for an influx of patients. Many forecasting methods have been used in real-time during the Influenza…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Majd Al Aawar , Ajitesh Srivastava

In machine learning, uncertainty quantification helps assess the reliability of model predictions, which is important in high-stakes scenarios. Traditional approaches often emphasize predictive accuracy, but there is a growing focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jake S. Rhodes , Scott D. Brown , J. Riley Wilkinson

Exploratory data analysis is crucial for developing and understanding classification models from high-dimensional datasets. We explore the utility of a new unsupervised tree ensemble called uncharted forest for visualizing class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Casey Kneale , Steven D. Brown

Deep forest is a non-differentiable deep model which has achieved impressive empirical success across a wide variety of applications, especially on categorical/symbolic or mixed modeling tasks. Many of the application fields prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yi-Xiao He , Shen-Huan Lyu , Yuan Jiang

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker
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