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Hydroclimatic time series analysis focuses on a few feature types (e.g., autocorrelations, trends, extremes), which describe a small portion of the entire information content of the observations. Aiming to exploit a larger part of the…

Nowadays hydroelectric energy is one of the best energy sources: it is cleaner, safer and more programmable than other sources. For this reason, its manage could not be done in an approssimative way, but advance mathematical models must be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Matteo Gardini , Aurora Manicardi

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

We use new and established methodologies in multivariate time series analysis to study the dynamics of 414 Australian hydrological stations' streamflow. First, we analyze our collection of time series in the temporal domain, and compare the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Nick James , Howard Bondell

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Surface runoff shapes planetary landscapes, but global hydrological models often lack the resolution and flexibility to simulate dynamic surface water bodies beyond Earth. Recent studies of Mars have revealed abundant geological and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-05 Alexandre Gauvain , François Forget , Martin Turbet , Jean-Baptiste Clément , Lucas Lange , Romain Vandemeulebrouck

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources has introduced complex dynamic behavior in power systems that challenge the adequacy of traditional continuous-time modeling approaches. These developments call for modeling frameworks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 B. G. Odunlami , M. Netto , Y. Susuki

Energy system optimization often relies on time series aggregation to ensure computational tractability. Aggregation generally loses the chronology of time steps, which renders the storage level representation challenging. Typically, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jacob Mannhardt , Lukas Kunz , Giovanni Sansavini

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Streamflow is a dynamical process that integrates water movement in space and time within basin boundaries. The authors characterize the dynamics associated with streamflow time series data from about seventy-one U.S. Geological Survey…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-14 Ganesh R. Ghimire , Navid Jadidoleslam , Witold F. Krajewski , Anastasios A. Tsonis

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Traditionally, power system's inertia has been estimated according to the rotating masses directly connected to the grid. However, a new generation mix scenario is currently identified, where conventional supply-side is gradually replaced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-04 Ana Fernández-Guillamón , Emilio Gómez-Lázaro , Angel Molina-García

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

With an increasing share of renewable energy sources, accurate and efficient modeling of grid-forming inverters is becoming crucial for system stability. Linear methods are a powerful tool for understanding dynamics close to an operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-30 Jakob Niehues , Anna Büttner , Anne Riegler , Frank Hellmann

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

A new empirical potential for efficient, large scale molecular dynamics simulation of water is presented. The HIPPO (Hydrogen-like Intermolecular Polarizable POtential) force field is based upon the model electron density of a hydrogen-like…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-09-30 Joshua A. Rackers , Roseane R. Silva , Zhi Wang , Jay W. Ponder

The increasing transmission capacity needs in a future energy system raise the question how associated costs should be allocated to the users of a strengthened power grid. In contrast to straightforward oversimplified methods, a flow…