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Climate change poses increasingly complex challenges to our society. Extreme weather events such as floods, wild fires or droughts are becoming more frequent, spontaneous and difficult to foresee or counteract. In this work we specifically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Fossil gas is sometimes presented as an enabler of variable solar and wind generation beyond 2050, despite being a primary source of greenhouse gas emissions from methane leakage and combustion. We find that balancing solar and wind…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Timothy Weber , Cheng Cheng , Harry Thawley , Kylie Catchpole , Andrew Blakers , Bin Lu , Jennifer Zhao , Anna Nadolny

As the power system continues to be flooded with intermittent resources, it becomes more important to accurately assess the role of hydro and its impact on the power grid. While hydropower generation has been studied for decades, dependency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Dewei Wang , Bhaskar Mitra , Sameer Nekkalapu , Sohom Datta , Bibi Matthew , Rounak Meyur , Heng Wang , Slaven Kincic

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

Recent environmental policies have led many academic, industrial and governmental stakeholders to design and plan scenarios with very high share of renewable energy sources (RES). New system elements such as High-voltage Direct Current…

Wind farms can be regarded as complex systems that are, on the one hand, coupled to the nonlinear, stochastic characteristics of weather and, on the other hand, strongly influenced by supervisory control mechanisms. One crucial problem in…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-22 Tobias Braun , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Energy (load, wind, photovoltaic) forecasting is significant in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Zhixian Wang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Liang Sun , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Shirui Pan , Yi Wang

Achieving robust and scalable convergence for simulation of realistic power flow cases can be challenging. One specific issue relates to the disconnected solution space that is created by the use of piecewise-discontinuous models of power…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-07 Aayushya Agarwal , Amritanshu Pandey , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

We explore the use of deep reinforcement learning to provide strategies for long term scheduling of hydropower production. We consider a use-case where the aim is to optimise the yearly revenue given week-by-week inflows to the reservoir…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Signe Riemer-Sorensen , Gjert H. Rosenlund

To track rapid changes within our water sector, Global Water Models (GWMs) need to realistically represent hydrologic systems' response patterns - such as baseflow fraction - but are hindered by their limited ability to learn from data.…

Power system expansion models are a widely used tool for planning powersystems, especially considering the integration of large shares of renewableresources. The backbone of these models is an optimization problem, whichdepends on a number…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-26 Bruno U. Schyska , Alexander Kies , Markus Schlott , Lueder von Bremen , Wided Medjroubi

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

We suggest a new methodology for designing robust energy systems. For this, we investigate so-called near-optimal solutions to energy system optimisation models; solutions whose objective values deviate only marginally from the optimum.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Fred Espen Benth , Marianne Zeyringer

Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sebastian Kebrich , Felix Engelhardt , David Franzmann , Christina Büsing , Jochen Linßen , Heidi Heinrichs

This study presents an innovative tool designed to unlock the potential of Michigan's lakes and dams for applications such as water resource management and renewable energy generation. Given Michigan's relatively flat landscape, the focus…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Sharaf K. Magableh , Xuesong Wang , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang

The optimization-based design of renewable energy systems is a computationally demanding task because of the high temporal fluctuation of supply and demand time series. In order to reduce these time series, the aggregation of typical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

Driven by global climate change and the ongoing energy transition, the coupling between power supply capabilities and meteorological factors has become increasingly significant. Over the long term, accurately quantifying the power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Xiaochong Dong , Jun Dan , Yingyun Sun , Yang Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

A comprehensive understanding of the behaviours of the various geophysical processes and an effective evaluation of time series (else referred to as "stochastic") simulation models require, among others, detailed investigations across…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-06 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Yannis Markonis , Martin Hanel

As the penetration of variable renewable powergeneration increases in power systems around the world, systemsecurity is challenged. Ensuring that enough reserve capacity isavailable to balance the increased forecast errors introduced bywind…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Christian Øyn Naversen , Hossein Farahmand , Arild Helseth