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Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jiahui Zou , Andrey Vasnev , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

Density aggregation is a central problem in machine learning, for instance when combining predictions from a Deep Ensemble. The choice of aggregation remains an open question with two commonly proposed approaches being linear pooling…

Let $G=\mathop{A\ast B}\limits_C$ be an amalgamated product of finite rank free groups $A$, $B$ and $C$. We introduce atomic measures and corresponding asymptotic densities on a set of normal forms of elements in $G$. We also define two…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-21 Elizaveta Frenkel , Alexei G. Myasnikov , Vladimir N. Remeslennikov

Piecewise Aggregate Approximation (PAA) is a competitive basic dimension reduction method for high-dimensional time series mining. When deployed, however, the limitations are obvious that some important information will be missed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Chunkai Zhang , Yingyang Chen , Ao Yin , Zhen Qin , Xing Zhang , Keli Zhang , Zoe L. Jiang

This paper analyzes comparatively the performance of Random Forests and Gradient Boosting algorithms in the field of forecasting the energy consumption based on historical data. The two algorithms are applied in order to forecast the energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Cristina Bianca Pop , Viorica Rozina Chifu , Corina Cordea , Emil Stefan Chifu , Octav Barsan

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) encompass large class of statistical models, with a vast range of applications areas. GLMM extends the linear mixed models allowing for different types of response variable. Three most common data…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro , Silvia emiko Shimakura

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

Second-order federated learning (FL) algorithms offer faster convergence than their first-order counterparts by leveraging curvature information. However, they are hindered by high computational and storage costs, particularly for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Abdulmomen Ghalkha , Chaouki Ben Issaid , Mehdi Bennis

Linear and geometric mixtures are two methods to combine arbitrary models in data compression. Geometric mixtures generalize the empirically well-performing PAQ7 mixture. Both mixture schemes rely on weight vectors, which heavily determine…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-13 Christopher Mattern

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

The feature frame is a key idea of feature matching problem between two images. However, most of the traditional matching methods only simply employ the spatial location information (the coordinates), which ignores the shape and orientation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Liang Shen , Jiahua Zhu , Chongyi Fan , Xiaotao Huang , Tian Jin

Gaussian mixtures are commonly used for modeling heavy-tailed error distributions in robust linear regression. Combining the likelihood of a multivariate robust linear regression model with a standard improper prior distribution yields an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Haoxiang Li , Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

Unified anomaly detection (AD) is one of the most challenges for anomaly detection, where one unified model is trained with normal samples from multiple classes with the objective to detect anomalies in these classes. For such a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Xincheng Yao , Ruoqi Li , Zefeng Qian , Lu Wang , Chongyang Zhang

One of the main modeling in many data science applications is the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), and Mean Field Variational Bayesian Inference (MFVBI) is classically used for approximate fast computation. In this paper, we provide a…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Alireza Bahraini , Saeed Sadeghi

We consider the problem of information aggregation in federated decision making, where a group of agents collaborate to infer the underlying state of nature without sharing their private data with the central processor or each other. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Mert Kayaalp , Yunus Inan , Visa Koivunen , Emre Telatar , Ali H. Sayed

Generalized mutual information (GMI) is used to compute achievable rates for fading channels with various types of channel state information at the transmitter (CSIT) and receiver (CSIR). The GMI is based on variations of auxiliary channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Gerhard Kramer

In literature, it is common to find problems which require a way to encode a finite set of information into a single data; usually means are used for that. An important generalization of means are the so called Aggregation Functions, with a…

Gaussian Mixture Models are a powerful tool in Data Science and Statistics that are mainly used for clustering and density approximation. The task of estimating the model parameters is in practice often solved by the Expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Lena Sembach , Jan Pablo Burgard , Volker H. Schulz

In this work, we investigate an original strategy in order to derive a statistical modeling of the interface in gas-liquid two-phase flows through geometrical variables. The con- tribution is two-fold. First it participates in the…

We examine two different techniques for parameter averaging in GAN training. Moving Average (MA) computes the time-average of parameters, whereas Exponential Moving Average (EMA) computes an exponentially discounted sum. Whilst MA is known…