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A scale mixture of normals is a distribution formed by mixing a collection of normal distributions with fixed mean but different variances. A generalized gamma scale mixture draws the variances from a generalized gamma distribution.…

We present a deterministic method to compute the Gaussian average of neural networks used in regression and classification. Our method is based on an equivalence between training with a particular regularized loss, and the expected values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Ryan Campbell , Chris Finlay , Adam M Oberman

Deep neural networks are typically trained by optimizing a loss function with an SGD variant, in conjunction with a decaying learning rate, until convergence. We show that simple averaging of multiple points along the trajectory of SGD,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Pavel Izmailov , Dmitrii Podoprikhin , Timur Garipov , Dmitry Vetrov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We consider three problems in high-dimensional Gaussian linear mixed models. Without any assumptions on the design for the fixed effects, we construct an asymptotic $F$-statistic for testing whether a collection of random effects is zero,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

The majority of machine learning methods can be regarded as the minimization of an unavailable risk function. To optimize the latter, given samples provided in a streaming fashion, we define a general stochastic Newton algorithm and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Claire Boyer , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

A central problem in data science is to use potentially noisy samples of an unknown function to predict values for unseen inputs. In classical statistics, predictive error is understood as a trade-off between the bias and the variance that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Mark K. Transtrum , Gus L. W. Hart , Tyler J. Jarvis , Jared P. Whitehead

Tracking multiple time-varying states based on heterogeneous observations is a key problem in many applications. Here, we develop a statistical model and algorithm for tracking an unknown number of targets based on the probabilistic fusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-10 Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Giovanni Soldi , Florian Meyer , Franz Hlawatsch , Moe Z. Win

Neural networks have become a popular tool in predictive modelling, more commonly associated with machine learning and artificial intelligence than with statistics. Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) are flexible non-linear statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jessica Doohan , Lucas Kook , Kevin Burke

Ensuring maritime safety and optimizing traffic management in increasingly crowded and complex waterways require effective waterway monitoring. However, current methods struggle with challenges arising from multimodal data, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Yuxu Lu , Kaisen Yang , Dong Yang , Haifeng Ding , Jinxian Weng , Ryan Wen Liu

Multivariate regression techniques are commonly applied to explore the associations between large numbers of outcomes and predictors. In real-world applications, the outcomes are often of mixed types, including continuous measurements,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Aditya Mishra , Dipak K. Dey , Yong Chen , Kun Chen

We address two important statistical problems: that of estimating mixtures of multivariate normal distributions and mixtures of $t$-distributions based on univariate projections, and that of quantifying a discrepancy between mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Ricardo Fraiman , Leonardo Moreno , Thomas Ransford

According to the classification scheme of the generalized random matrix ensembles, we present various kinds of concrete examples of the generalized ensemble, and derive their joint density functions in an unified way by one simple formula…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jinpeng An , Zhengdong Wang , Kuihua Yan

The standard procedures for analysing hierarquical or grouped data are by (non)linear mixed models or generalized mixed models. However, the generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSSs) also allow different types of…

Global expression analyses using microarray technologies are becoming more common in genomic research, therefore, new statistical challenges associated with combining information from multiple studies must be addressed. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-29 Jia Li , George C. Tseng

GNSS localization is an important part of today's autonomous systems, although it suffers from non-Gaussian errors caused by non-line-of-sight effects. Recent methods are able to mitigate these effects by including the corresponding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-20 Tim Pfeifer , Peter Protzel

The statistical matching problem is a data integration problem with structured missing data. The general form involves the analysis of multiple datasets that only have a strict subset of variables jointly observed across all datasets. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

A principled framework to generalize variational perturbation approximations (VPA's) formulated within the ambit of the nonadditive statistics of Tsallis statistics, is introduced. This is accomplished by operating on the terms constituting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 R. C. Venkatesan , A. Plastino

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

We give a new algorithm for learning mixtures of $k$ Gaussians (with identity covariance in $\mathbb{R}^n$) to TV error $\varepsilon$, with quasi-polynomial ($O(n^{\text{poly\,log}\left(\frac{n+k}{\varepsilon}\right)})$) time and sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jonathan Kelner , Holden Lee

Vibration-based condition monitoring systems are receiving increasing attention due to their ability to accurately identify different conditions by capturing dynamic features over a broad frequency range. However, there is little research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Philipp Sepin , Jana Kemnitz , Safoura Rezapour Lakani , Daniel Schall