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Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-31 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

We analyze differences between two information-theoretically motivated approaches to statistical inference and model selection: the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, and the Minimum Message Length (MML) principle. Based on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Peter D Grunwald , Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Tomi Silander , Henry Tirri

A common assumption in causal inference from observational data is that there is no hidden confounding. Yet it is, in general, impossible to verify this assumption from a single dataset. Under the assumption of independent causal mechanisms…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Rickard K. A. Karlsson , Jesse H. Krijthe

Causal discovery from observational data holds great promise, but existing methods rely on strong assumptions about the underlying causal structure, often requiring full observability of all relevant variables. We tackle these challenges by…

Human commonsense understanding of the physical and social world is organized around intuitive theories. These theories support making causal and moral judgments. When something bad happens, we naturally ask: who did what, and why? A rich…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Allen Nie , Yuhui Zhang , Atharva Amdekar , Chris Piech , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Tobias Gerstenberg

When analyzing large datasets, analysts are often interested in the explanations for surprising or unexpected results produced by their queries. In this work, we focus on aggregate SQL queries that expose correlations in the data. A major…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Brit Youngmann , Michael Cafarella , Yuval Moskovitch , Babak Salimi

We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

Confounding matters in almost all observational studies that focus on causality. In order to eliminate bias caused by connfounders, oftentimes a substantial number of features need to be collected in the analysis. In this case, large p…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Shinyuu Lee , Yuru Zhu

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

Most existing debiasing methods for multimodal models, including causal intervention and inference methods, utilize approximate heuristics to represent the biases, such as shallow features from early stages of training or unimodal features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Vaidehi Patil , Adyasha Maharana , Mohit Bansal

Causal discovery methods based on the PC algorithm are proven to be sound if all structural assumptions are fulfilled and all conditional independence tests are correct. This idealized setting is rarely given in real data. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sofia Faltenbacher , Jonas Wahl , Rebecca Herman , Jakob Runge

Unobserved confounding is a major hurdle for causal inference from observational data. Confounders---the variables that affect both the causes and the outcome---induce spurious non-causal correlations between the two. Wang & Blei (2018)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-31 Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Koulik Khamaru , Rahul Mazumder

By adhering to the dictum, "No causation without manipulation (treatment, intervention)", cause and effect data analysis represents changes in observed data in terms of changes in the causal factors. When causal factors are not amenable for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-25 M. Alex O. Vasilescu , Eric Kim , Xiao S. Zeng

We consider large-scale studies in which thousands of significance tests are performed simultaneously. In some of these studies, the multiple testing procedure can be severely biased by latent confounding factors such as batch effects and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-21 Jingshu Wang , Qingyuan Zhao , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

We consider the problem of selecting confounders for adjustment from a potentially large set of covariates, when estimating a causal effect. Recently, the high-dimensional Propensity Score (hdPS) method was developed for this task; hdPS…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Asad Haris , Robert Platt

We consider a causal effect that is confounded by an unobserved variable, but with observed proxy variables of the confounder. We show that, with at least two independent proxy variables satisfying a certain rank condition, the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Wang Miao , Zhi Geng , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal discovery estimates the underlying physical process that generates the observed data: does X cause Y or does Y cause X? Current methodologies use structural conditions to turn the causal query into a statistical query, when only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-14 Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

Causal Structure Learning (CSL), also referred to as causal discovery, amounts to extracting causal relations among variables in data. CSL enables the estimation of causal effects from observational data alone, avoiding the need to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a tool to capture factors that explain variation in data. Across domains, data are now collected across multiple contexts (for example, individuals with different diseases, cells of different types, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-22 Kexin Wang , Salil Bhate , João M. Pereira , Joe Kileel , Matylda Figlerowicz , Anna Seigal