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We emphasize that the mention of the significance level when rejecting the null hypothesis (H0) which assumes that what is observed is pure noise) can mislead one to think that the H0 hypothesis is unlikely to occur with that significance…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 T. Appourchaux , R. Samadi , M. -A. Dupret

We show that publishing results using the statistical significance filter---publishing only when the p-value is less than 0.05---leads to a vicious cycle of overoptimistic expectation of the replicability of results. First, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-16 Shravan Vasishth , Andrew Gelman

Equivalence tests, otherwise known as parity or similarity tests, are frequently used in ``bioequivalence studies" to establish practical equivalence rather than the usual statistical significant difference. In this article, we propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Daniel Ochieng

It is widely acknowledged that the biomedical literature suffer from a surfeit of false positive results. Part of the reason for this is the persistence of the myth that observation of a p value less than 0.05 is sufficient justification to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-28 David Colquhoun

Fisherian randomization inference is often dismissed as testing an uninteresting and implausible hypothesis: the sharp null of no effects whatsoever. We show that this view is overly narrow. Many randomization tests are also valid under a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-22 Devin Caughey , Allan Dafoe , Luke Miratrix

The following proposition is justified from several different points of view. If you use P = 0.05 to suggest that you have made a discovery, you will be wrong at least 30 percent of the time. If, as is often the case, experiments are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 David Colquhoun

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

The score test statistic using the observed information is easy to compute numerically. Its large sample distribution under the null hypothesis is well known and is equivalent to that of the score test based on the expected information, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-10 N. Karavarsamis , G. Guillera-Arroita , RM Huggins , B J T Morgan

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

In the hypothesis testing framework, p-value is often computed to determine rejection of the null hypothesis or not. On the other hand, Bayesian approaches typically compute the posterior probability of the null hypothesis to evaluate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Guosheng Yin , Haolun Shi

Statistical significance measures the reliability of a result obtained from a random experiment. We investigate the number of repetitions needed for a statistical result to have a certain significance. In the first step, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Maike Tormählen , Galiya Klinkova , Michael Grabinski

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

Most scientific disciplines use significance testing to draw conclusions about experimental or observational data. This classical approach provides a theoretical guarantee for controlling the number of false positives across a set of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-06 Stanley E. Lazic

The logical and practical difficulties associated with research interpretation using P values and null hypothesis significance testing have been extensively documented. This paper describes an alternative, likelihood-based approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Nicholas Adams , Gerard O'Reilly

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

In multiple testing several criteria to control for type I errors exist. The false discovery rate, which evaluates the expected proportion of false discoveries among the rejected null hypotheses, has become the standard approach in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

We present a new test of hypothesis in which we seek the probability of the null conditioned on the data, where the null is a simplification undertaken to counter the intractability of the more complex model, that the simpler null model is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-20 Dalia Chakrabarty

I reject the following null hypothesis: {H0: your data are normal}. Such drastic decision is motivated by theoretical reasons, and applies to your current data, the past ones, and the future ones. While this situation may appear…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-02-23 Paolo Frumento

Importance sampling is a common technique for Monte Carlo approximation, including Monte Carlo approximation of p-values. Here it is shown that a simple correction of the usual importance sampling p-values creates valid p-values, meaning…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-12 Matthew T. Harrison