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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a class of algorithms that approximate high-dimensional expectations of a Markov chain. SMC algorithms typically include a resampling step. There are many possible ways to resample, but the relative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Robert J. Webber

Reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) is an algorithm that incorporates stochastic modification of the action as part of the process that updates the fields in a Monte Carlo simulation. Such update moves have the potential of lowering or eliminating…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-06-22 Arjun Singh Gambhir , Kostas Orginos

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods comprise one of the most successful approaches to approximate Bayesian filtering. However, SMC without good proposal distributions struggle in high dimensions. We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Although evaluation of the expectations on the Ising model is essential in various applications, it is mostly infeasible because of intractable multiple summations. Spatial Monte Carlo integration (SMCI) is a sampling-based approximation.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-19 Kaiji Sekimoto , Muneki Yasuda

This work proposes a scheme for significantly reducing the computational complexity of discretized problems involving the non-smooth forward propagation of uncertainty by combining the adaptive hierarchical sparse grid stochastic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-07 Robert L. Gates , Maximilian R. Bittens

This paper describes a new Monte Carlo method based on a novel stochastic potential switching algorithm. This algorithm enables the equilibrium properties of a system with potential $V$ to be computed using a Monte Carlo simulation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. H. Mak

We propose a novel class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, appropriate for inference in probabilistic graphical models. This class of algorithms adopts a divide-and-conquer approach based upon an auxiliary tree-structured…

In this paper, we define and solve the Inverse Stochastic Optimal Control (ISOC) problem of the linear-quadratic Gaussian (LQG) and the linear-quadratic sensorimotor (LQS) control model. These Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) models are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Philipp Karg , Simon Stoll , Simon Rothfuß , Sören Hohmann

Statistical signal processing applications usually require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. These estimates are typically obtained either by solving a multi-variate optimization problem, as in the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 D. Luengo , L. Martino , M. Bugallo , V. Elvira , S. Särkkä

Motivated by a challenging problem in financial trading we are presented with a mixture of regressions with variable selection problem. In this regard, one is faced with data which possess outliers, skewness and, simultaneously, due to the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-23 Alberto Cozzini , Ajay Jasra , Giovanni Montana

Augmenting the multi-step reasoning abilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) has been a persistent challenge. Recently, verification has shown promise in improving solution consistency by evaluating generated outputs. However, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Shengyu Feng , Xiang Kong , Shuang Ma , Aonan Zhang , Dong Yin , Chong Wang , Ruoming Pang , Yiming Yang

This paper is concerned with mean-field stochastic linear-quadratic (MF-SLQ, for short) optimal control problems with deterministic coefficients. The notion of weak closed-loop optimal strategy is introduced. It is shown that the open-loop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Jingrui Sun , Hanxiao Wang

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

This paper presents a stochastic, model predictive control (MPC) algorithm that leverages short-term probabilistic forecasts for dispatching and rebalancing Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand systems (AMoD, i.e. fleets of self-driving vehicles).…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Matthew Tsao , Ramon Iglesias , Marco Pavone

The classical Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is an iterative method for solving stochastic control problems and is derived from Pontryagin's optimality principle. It is known that the MSA may fail to converge. Using careful…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Bekzhan Kerimkulov , David Šiška , Łukasz Szpruch

We leverage multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) to improve the performance of multi-step look-ahead Bayesian optimization (BO) methods that involve nested expectations and maximizations. Often these expectations must be computed by Monte Carlo…

This paper proposes an adaptive stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input multi-output systems that can be expressed by a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

Minimum-weight perfect matching (MWPM) has been been the primary classical algorithm for error correction in the surface code, since it is of low runtime complexity and achieves relatively low logical error rates [Phys. Rev. Lett. 108,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-02-20 Adrian Hutter , James R. Wootton , Daniel Loss

The considered optimal control problem of a stochastic power system, is to select the set of power supply vectors which infimizes the probability that the phase-angle differences of any power flow of the network, endangers the transient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Zhen Wang , Kaihua Xi , Aijie Cheng , Hai Xiang Lin , Jan H. van Schuppen

We consider a multi-step algorithm for the computation of the historical expected shortfall such as defined by the Basel Minimum Capital Requirements for Market Risk. At each step of the algorithm, we use Monte Carlo simulations to reduce…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Bruno Bouchard , Adil Reghai , Benjamin Virrion