Related papers: Joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of …

We study the asymptotic behaviour of additive functionals of random walks in random scenery. We establish bounds for the moments of the local time of the Kesten and Spitzer process.These bounds combined with a previous moment convergence…

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process in which the coefficients are of the form $a_i=i^{-1}\ell(i)$ with $\ell$ being a slowly varying function at the infinity and the innovations are independent and identically distributed…

Random perturbations applied in tandem to an ensemble of oscillating objects can synchronize their motion. We study multiple copies of an arbitrary dynamical system in a stable limit cycle, described via a standard phase reduction picture.…

We study information aggregation in networks when agents interact to learn a binary state of the world. Initially each agent privately observes an independent signal which is "correct" with probability $\frac{1}{2}+\delta$ for some $\delta…

This paper examines the asymptotic inference for AR(1) models with a possible structural break in the AR parameter $\beta $ near the unity at an unknown time $k_{0}$. Consider the model $y_{t}=\beta_{1}y_{t-1}I\{t\leq k_{0}\}+\beta…

In this paper, we give a AR$(1)$ type of characterization covering all multivariate strictly stationary processes indexed by the set of integers. Consequently, we derive continuous time algebraic Riccati equations for the parameter matrix…

We present a bivariate vector valued discrete autoregressive model of order $1$ (BDAR($1$)) for discrete time series. The BDAR($1$) model assumes that each time series follows its own univariate DAR($1$) model with dependent random…

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

We consider a class of strongly edge-reinforced random walks, where the corresponding reinforcement weight function is nondecreasing. It is known, from Limic and Tarr\`{e}s [Ann. Probab. (2007), to appear], that the attracting edge emerges…

Traditional graph representations are insufficient for modelling real-world phenomena involving multi-entity interactions, such as collaborative projects or protein complexes, necessitating the use of hypergraphs. While hypergraphs preserve…

Markets efficiency implies that the stock returns are intrinsically unpredictable, a property that makes markets comparable to random number generators. We present a novel methodology to investigate ultra-high frequency financial data and…

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

We construct an autoregressive model with random coefficients that has a stationary distribution after proper normalization. This limit distribution is found to be stable.

Consider a first-order autoregressive process $X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i,$ where $\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots)$ and $\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z}$ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference…

Let $G = (V,E)$ be a connected directed graph on $n$ vertices. Assign values from the set $\{1,2,\dots,n\}$ to the vertices of $G$ and update the values according to the following rule: uniformly at random choose a vertex and update its…

We give the distribution function of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from an autoregressive process of order 2. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case, where the underlying random…

Let (W_i, J_i) be a sequence of i.i.d. R_+ x R-valued random vectors. Considering the partial sum of the first component and the corresponding maximum of the second component, we are interested in the limit distributions that can be…