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We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Robert L Wolpert

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

We provide a generalization of Theorem 1 in Bartkiewicz, Jakubowski, Mikosch and Wintenberger (2011) in the sense that we give sufficient conditions for weak convergence of finite dimensional distributions of the partial sum processes of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

A discrete stochastic process involving random amplification with additive noise is studied analytically. If the non-negative random amplification factor $b$ is such that $<b^{\beta}>=1$ where $\beta$ is any positive non-integer, then the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Nobuko Fuchikami

When a spatial process is recorded over time and the observation at a given time instant is viewed as a point in a function space, the result is a time series taking values in a Banach space. To study the spatio-temporal extremal dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Thomas Meinguet , Johan Segers

Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule(1927).. We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Panagiotis Maouris , Efstathios Paparoditis

It is well-known that the aggregated time series might have very different properties from those of the individual series, in particular, long memory. At the present time, aggregation has become one of the main tools for modelling of long…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-17 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Donata Puplinskaite , Donatas Surgailis

The higher dimensional autoregressive models would describe some of the econometric processes relatively generically if they incorporate the heterogeneity in dependence on times. This paper analyzes the stationarity of an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Varsha S. Kulkarni

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

The class of locally stationary processes assumes that there is a time-varying spectral representation, that is, the existence of finite second moment. We propose the $\alpha$-stable locally stationary process by modifying the innovations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Shu Wei Chou-Chen , Pedro A. Morettin

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Consider a sequence X_k=\sum_{j=0}^{\infty}c_j\xi_{k-j}, k\geq 1, where c_j, j\geq 0, is a sequence of constants and \xi_j, -\infty <j<\infty, is a sequence of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.v.s) belonging…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Jeganathan

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots$ be random elements of the Skorokhod space $D(\mathbb{R})$ and $\xi_1, \xi_2, \ldots$ positive random variables such that the pairs $(X_1,\xi_1), (X_2,\xi_2),\ldots$ are independent and identically distributed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Alexander Marynych

This paper considers a first-order autoregressive panel data model with individual-specific effects and heterogeneous autoregressive coefficients defined on the interval (-1,1], thus allowing for some of the individual processes to have…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 M. Hashem Pesaran , Liying Yang

We consider two random walks evolving synchronously on a random out-regular graph of $n$ vertices with bounded out-degree $r\ge 2$, also known as a random Deterministic Finite Automaton (DFA). We show that, with high probability with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Matteo Quattropani , Federico Sau

A coagulation process is studied in a set of random masses, in which two randomly chosen masses and the smallest mass of the set multiplied by some fixed parameter $\omega\in [-1,1]$ are iteratively added. Besides masses (or primary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Róbert Juhász

For moving average processes with random coefficients and heavy-tailed innovations that are weakly dependent in the sense of strong mixing and local dependence condition $D'$ we study joint functional convergence of partial sums and maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Danijel Krizmanic

We study an iterated temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of a strongly stationary subcritical Galton-Watson branching process with regularly varying immigration having index $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. Limits of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap