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Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Spatiotemporal forecasting is an imperative topic in data science due to its diverse and critical applications in smart cities. Existing works mostly perform consecutive predictions of following steps with observations completely and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Kuo , Wei Sun , Binwu Wang , Min Zhou , Yunan Zong , Yang Wang

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

The increasing complexity of distribution network calls for advancement in distribution system state estimation (DSSE) to monitor the operating conditions more accurately. Sufficient number of measurements is imperative for a reliable and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-09 Mehdi Shafiei , Ghavameddin Nourbakhsh , Ali Arefi , Gerard Ledwich , Houman Pezeshki

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Spatial-temporal data, fundamental to many intelligent applications, reveals dependencies indicating causal links between present measurements at specific locations and historical data at the same or other locations. Within this context,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Wenying Duan , Shujun Guo , Wei huang , Hong Rao , Xiaoxi He

Dependent generalized extreme value (dGEV) models have attracted much attention due to the dependency structure that often appears in real datasets. To construct a dGEV model, a natural approach is to assume that some parameters in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Bo Ning , Peter Bloomfield

Multi-output Gaussian process (MGP) is commonly used as a transfer learning method to leverage information among multiple outputs. A key advantage of MGP is providing uncertainty quantification for prediction, which is highly important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Wang Xinming , Li Yongxiang , Yue Xiaowei , Wu Jianguo

This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

This paper presents a solution for persistent monitoring of real-world stochastic phenomena, where the underlying covariance structure changes sharply across time, using a small number of mobile robot sensors. We propose an adaptive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Nora Ayanian

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper some methods to use the empirical bootstrap approach for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) to minimize the empirical risk over a separable Hilbert space are investigated from the view point of algorithmic stability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Andreas Christmann , Yunwen Lei

In a spatial-temporal model, structural change and/or spatial heterogeneity can easily affect estimation of parameters. Following the spatial-temporal model in [1], we develop a nonparametric procedure for test-ing the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Ruby Anne E. Lemence , Erniel B. Barrios

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

We design a Gaussian Process (GP) spatiotemporal model to capture features of day-ahead wind power forecasts. We work with hourly-scale day-ahead forecasts across hundreds of wind farm locations, with the main aim of constructing a fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Qiqi Li , Mike Ludkovski

Effectively modeling discriminative spatio-temporal information is essential for segmenting activities in long action sequences. However, we observe that existing methods are limited in weak spatio-temporal modeling capability due to two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Yunheng Li , Zhongyu Li , Shanghua Gao , Qilong Wang , Qibin Hou , Ming-Ming Cheng