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This work presents a non-parametric spatio-temporal model for mapping human activity by mobile autonomous robots in a long-term context. Based on Variational Gaussian Process Regression, the model incorporates prior information of spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Marvin Stuede , Moritz Schappler

In the study "Spatio-temporal Gaussian process models for extended and group object tracking with irregular shapes" (IEEE Trans. Veh. Tech., vol. 68, no. 3, pp. 2137-2151, Mar. 2019), the extended object tracking problem was tackled by an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-20 Murat Kumru , Emre Özkan

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Csaba Toth , Harald Oberhauser

Very large spatio-temporal lattice data are becoming increasingly common across a variety of disciplines. However, estimating interdependence across space and time in large areal datasets remains challenging, as existing approaches are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-20 Philipp Hunziker , Julian Wucherpfennig , Aya Kachi , Nils-Christian Bormann

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

2D Gaussian Splatting (2DGS) has recently become a promising paradigm for high-quality video representation. However, existing methods employ content-agnostic or spatio-temporal feature overlapping embeddings to predict canonical Gaussian…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Jierun Lin , Jiacong Chen , Qingyu Mao , Shuai Liu , Xiandong Meng , Fanyang Meng , Yongsheng Liang

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Spatio-temporal processes often exhibit highly heterogeneous and non-intuitive responses to localized disruptions, limiting the effectiveness of conventional message passing approaches in modeling local heterogeneity. We reformulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abeer Mostafa , Raneen Younis , Zahra Ahmadi

We present a theory-guided generalized Bayesian methodology for spatio-temporal raster data, which we use to train an ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks with Gaussian-distributed weights. The methodology incorporates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Leonardo Bardi , Imma Valentina Curato , Lorenzo Proietti

Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) is a popular variant of Stochastic Gradient Descent, where properly scaled isotropic Gaussian noise is added to an unbiased estimate of the gradient at each iteration. This modest change allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Maxim Raginsky , Alexander Rakhlin , Matus Telgarsky

Effective multivariate time series forecasting often benefits from accurately modeling complex inter-variable dependencies. However, existing attention- or graph-based methods face three key issues: (a) strong temporal self-dependencies are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Feng Xiong , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Haoyu Wang , Jianhong Lin

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Among various region embedding methods, graph-based region relation learning models stand out, owing to their strong structure representation ability for encoding spatial correlations with graph neural networks. Despite their effectiveness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Qianru Zhang , Chao Huang , Lianghao Xia , Zheng Wang , Zhonghang Li , Siuming Yiu

Multi-task Gaussian process (MTGP) is a well-known non-parametric Bayesian model for learning correlated tasks effectively by transferring knowledge across tasks. But current MTGPs are usually limited to the multi-task scenario defined in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Haitao Liu , Kai Wu , Yew-Soon Ong , Chao Bian , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

We construct flexible spatio-temporal models through stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) where both diffusion and advection can be spatially varying. Computations are done through a Gaussian Markov random field approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Martin Outzen Berild , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi
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