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We recently proposed a method for estimation of states and parameters in stochastic differential equations, which included intermediate time points between observations and used the Laplace approximation to integrate out these intermediate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen

We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Denis Villemonais , Nicolas Zalduendo

We introduce a class of continuous-state branching processes with immigration, predation and competition, which can be viewed as a combination of the classical Lotka-Volterra model and continuous-state branching processes with competition…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Shukai Chen , Pei-Sen Li , Jian Wang

Following the pivotal work of Sevastyanov, who considered branching processes with homogeneous Poisson immigration, much has been done to understand the behaviour of such processes under different types of branching and immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Martin Minchev , Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

In this paper, we study the phenomenon of coming down from infinity for subcritical cooperative branching processes with pairwise interactions (BPI processes) under suitable conditions. BPI processes are continuous-time Markov chains that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Juan Carlos Pardo

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

In the first part of this paper we give easy and intuitive proofs for the small value probabilities of the martingale limit of a supercritical Galton-Watson process in both the Schr\"oder and the B\"ottcher case. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 Peter Morters , Marcel Ortgiese

Let $(X_1, \xi_1), (X_2,\xi_2),\ldots$ be i.i.d.~copies of a pair $(X,\xi)$ where $X$ is a random process with paths in the Skorokhod space $D[0,\infty)$ and $\xi$ is a positive random variable. Define $S_k := \xi_1+\ldots+\xi_k$, $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-12 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Matthias Meiners

Partial observations of continuous time-series dynamics at arbitrary time stamps exist in many disciplines. Fitting this type of data using statistical models with continuous dynamics is not only promising at an intuitive level but also has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Ruizhi Deng , Marcus A. Brubaker , Greg Mori , Andreas M. Lehrmann

We study asymptotic behavior of conditional least squares estimators for 2-type doubly symmetric critical irreducible continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time (low frequency)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

The importation and subsequent establishment of novel pathogenic strains in a population is subject to a large degree of uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the disease dynamics. Mathematical models need to take this stochasticity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-02 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Frederik Mølkjær Andersen , Samir Bhatt

Bisexual Galton-Watson processes are discrete Markov chains where reproduction events are due to mating of males and females. Owing to this interaction, the standard branching property of Galton-Watson processes is lost. We prove tightness…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Vincent Bansaye , Maria-Emilia Caballero , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

In this paper we consider the unique nonnegative solution to the following generalized version of the stochastic differential equation for a continuous-state branching process. \beqnn X_t \ar=\ar x+\int_0^t\gamma_0(X_s)\dd…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Pei-Sen Li , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

When two (possibly different in distribution) continuous-state branching processes with immigration are present, we study the relative frequency of one of them when the total mass is forced to be constant at a dense set of times. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-14 María Emilia Caballero , Adrián González Casanova , José-Luis Pérez

For multitype branching processes with immigration evolving in a random environment and producing a final product we find the tail distribution of the size of the final product accumulated in the system for a life period. Using this result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Vladimir Vatutin

Using Foster-Lyapunov techniques we establish new conditions on non-extinction, non-explosion, coming down from infinity and staying infinite, respectively, for the general continuous-state nonlinear branching processes introduced in Li et…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Shaojuan Ma , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider a Galton-Watson process with immigration $(\mathcal{Z}_n)$, with offspring probabilities $(p_i)$ and immigration probabilities $(q_i)$. In the case when $p_0=0$, $p_1\neq 0$, $q_0=0$ (that is, when $\text{essinf}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Nadia Sidorova