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A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-15 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

In this paper we consider a triangular array of branching processes with non-stationary immigration. We prove a weak convergence of properly normalized branching processes with immigration to deterministic function under assumption that…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Sadillo Sharipov

Motivated by L\'{e}vy's characterization of Brownian motion on the line, we propose an analogue of Brownian motion that has as its state space an arbitrary closed subset of the line that is unbounded above and below: such a process will be…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Shankar Bhamidi , Steven N. Evans , Ron Peled , Peter Ralph

Analogues of stepping--stone models are considered where the site--space is continuous, the migration process is a general Markov process, and the type--space is infinite. Such processes were defined in previous work of the second author by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Donnelly , Steven N. Evans , Klaus Fleischmann , Thomas G. Kurtz , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider a spatial branching process with emigration in which children either remain at the same site as their parents or migrate to new locations and then found their own colonies. We are interested in asymptotics of the partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jean Bertoin

We report some properties of heavy-tailed Sibuya-like distributions related to thinning, self-decomposability and branching processes. Extension of the thinning operation of on-negative integer-valued random variables to scaling by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Lev B. Klebanov , Michal Šumbera

We prove stable convergence of conditional least squares estimators of drift parameters for supercritical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time observations.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy

By decomposing the random walk path, we construct a multitype branching process with immigration in random environment for corresponding random walk with bounded jumps in random environment. Then we give two applications of the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Wenming Hong , Huaming Wang

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of a critical multi-type branching process with immigration is described when the offspring mean matrix is irreducible, in other words, when the process is indecomposable. It is proved that sequences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Tivadar Danka , Gyula Pap

We consider the setting of either a general non-local branching particle process or a general non-local superprocess, in both cases, with and without immigration. Under the assumption that the mean semigroup has a Perron-Frobenious type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Emma Horton , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Ellen Powell , Victor Rivero

We code Galton-Walton trees by a continuous height process, in order to give a precise meaning to the convergence of forests of trees. This allows us to establish the convergence of the forest of genealogical trees of the branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Ibrahima Drame

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

We provide a systematic, thorough treatment of the foundations of probability theory and stochastic processes along the lines of E. Bishop's constructive analysis. Every existence result presented shall be a construction; and the input…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Yuen-Kwok Chan

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

This paper introduces stochastic processes that describe the evolution of systems of particles in which particles immigrate according to a Poisson measure and split according to a self-similar fragmentation. Criteria for existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benedicte Haas

In this paper, we consider a critical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration stopped at zero $\mathbf{W}$. Some precise estimation on the generation function of the $n$-th population are obtained, and the tail probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Doudou Li , Mei Zhang , Xianyu Zhang

We revisit certain decompositions of continuous-state branching processes (CSBPs), commonly referred to as skeletal decompositions, through the lens of intertwining of semi-groups. Precisely, we associate to a CSBP $X$ with branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Foucart , Olivier Hénard

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa