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Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

In statistics and machine learning, logistic regression is a widely-used supervised learning technique primarily employed for binary classification tasks. When the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of predictor variables, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Agniva Chowdhury , Pradeep Ramuhalli

We introduce the avoidance Markov metrics and theories which provide more flexibility in the design of random walk and impose new conditions on the walk to avoid (or transit) a specific node (or a set of nodes) before the stopping criteria.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Golshan Golnari , Zhi-Li Zhang , Daniel Boley

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Animals are known to make efficient probabilistic inferences based on uncertain and noisy information from the outside world. Although it is known that generic neural networks can perform near-optimal point estimation by probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Kohei Ichikawa , Asaki Kataoka

Many online networks are measured and studied via sampling techniques, which typically collect a relatively small fraction of nodes and their associated edges. Past work in this area has primarily focused on obtaining a representative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-05-30 Maciej Kurant , Minas Gjoka , Yan Wang , Zack W. Almquist , Carter T. Butts , Athina Markopoulou

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

Given a sequence of observations from a discrete-time, finite-state hidden Markov model, we would like to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic. The bootstrap method is employed to approximate the confidence regions of a…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-29 Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Understanding the topological characteristics of complex networks and how they affect navigability is one of the most important goals in science today, as it plays a central role in various economic, biological, ecological and social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 M. S. Chaves , T. G. Mattos , A. P. F. Atman

Understanding the dynamics of complex molecular processes is often linked to the study of infrequent transitions between long-lived stable states. The standard approach to the sampling of such rare events is to generate an ensemble of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-05-22 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Salvatore Romano , Phillip Geissler , Christoph Dellago

Reachability analysis is at the core of many applications, from neural network verification, to safe trajectory planning of uncertain systems. However, this problem is notoriously challenging, and current approaches tend to be either too…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

Upper bounds are derived on the total variation distance between the invariant distributions of two stochastic matrices differing on a subset W of rows. Such bounds depend on three parameters: the mixing time and the minimal expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Higher-order networks are efficient representations of sequential data. Unlike the classic first-order network approach, they capture indirect dependencies between items composing the input sequences by the use of \textit{memory-nodes}. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-08 Célestin Coquidé , Julie Queiros , François Queyroi

Network systems have become a ubiquitous modeling tool in many areas of science where nodes in a graph represent distributed processes and edges between nodes represent a form of dynamic coupling. When a network topology is already known…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-30 Donatello Materassi , Murti V. Salapaka

Couplings play a central role in contemporary Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and in the analysis of their convergence to stationarity. In most cases, a coupling must induce relatively fast meeting between chains to ensure good…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 John O'Leary

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) have recently received wide attentions, due to their successful applications in different graph tasks and different domains. Training GCNs for a large graph, however, is still a challenge. Original…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Difan Zou , Ziniu Hu , Yewen Wang , Song Jiang , Yizhou Sun , Quanquan Gu

We review an established Bayesian sampling method called sampling/importance resampling and highlight situations in nuclear theory when it can be particularly useful. To this end we both analyse a toy problem and demonstrate realistic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-01-18 Weiguang Jiang , Christian Forssén

Approximate inference in dynamic systems is the problem of estimating the state of the system given a sequence of actions and partial observations. High precision estimation is fundamental in many applications like diagnosis, natural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Hannaneh Hajishirzi , Eyal Amir

Identifying emerging influential or popular node/item in future on network is a current interest of the researchers. Most of previous works focus on identifying leaders in time evolving networks on the basis of network structure or node's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-07 Khushnood Abbas , Mingsheng Shang , Cai Shi-Min , Xiaoyu Shi
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