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We study the task of selecting $k$ nodes, in a social network of size $n$, to seed a diffusion with maximum expected spread size, under the independent cascade model with cascade probability $p$. Most of the previous work on this problem…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Dean Eckles , Hossein Esfandiari , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

We propose a method to identify all the nodes that are relevant to compute all the conditional probability distributions for a given set of nodes. Our method is simple, effcient, consistent, and does not require learning a Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Jose M. Pena , Roland Nilsson , Johan Björkegren , Jesper Tegnér

Complex systems made of interacting elements are commonly abstracted as networks, in which nodes are associated with dynamic state variables, whose evolution is driven by interactions mediated by the edges. Markov processes have been the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-30 Vsevolod Salnikov , Michael T. Schaub , Renaud Lambiotte

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology which uses random walks for rapid inference of statistical properties of undirected networks with weighted or unweighted edges. Our formalism yields high-accuracy estimates of the probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-25 Willow B. Kion-Crosby , Alexandre V. Morozov

Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Xianyang Zhang

The assessment of node importance has been a fundamental issue in the research of complex networks. In this paper, we propose to use the Shannon-Parry measure (SPM) to evaluate the importance of a node quantitatively, because SPM is the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Shen Huang , Hongfei Cui , Yiming Ding

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

Network embeddings learn to represent nodes as low-dimensional vectors to preserve the proximity between nodes and communities of the network for network analysis. The temporal edges (e.g., relationships, contacts, and emails) in dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Chuanchang Chen , Yubo Tao , Hai Lin

In real-world Bayesian inference applications, prior assumptions regarding the parameters of interest may be unrepresentative of their actual values for a given dataset. In particular, if the likelihood is concentrated far out in the wings…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-01 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson , Saptarshi Das , Paul Gelderblom

Thermalization is one of the most important phenomena in statistical physics. Often, the transition probabilities between different states in the phase space is or can be approximated by constants. In this case, the system can be described…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-13 Francesco Caravelli

Importance sampling of trajectories has proved a uniquely successful strategy for exploring rare dynamical behaviors of complex systems in an unbiased way. Carrying out this sampling, however, requires an ability to propose changes to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-01 Todd R. Gingrich , Phillip L. Geissler

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

Understanding and quantifying node importance is a fundamental problem in network science and engineering, underpinning a wide range of applications such as influence maximization, social recommendation, and network dismantling. Prior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Jiahui Gao , Kuang Zhou , Yuchen Zhu , Keyu Wu

We consider the stochastic gradient method with random reshuffling ($\mathsf{RR}$) for tackling smooth nonconvex optimization problems. $\mathsf{RR}$ finds broad applications in practice, notably in training neural networks. In this work,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Hengxu Yu , Xiao Li

Importance sampling and Metropolis-Hastings sampling (of which Gibbs sampling is a special case) are two methods commonly used to sample multi-variate probability distributions (that is, Bayesian networks). Heretofore, the sampling of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-11-13 Robert R. Tucci

In view of the node importance in weighted networks, weighted expected method (WEM), was proposed in this paper, which take an advantages of uncertain graph algorithm. First, a weight processing method is proposed based on the relationship…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Linjie Chen , Na Zhao , Jie Li , Zhen Long , Ming Jing , Jian Wang
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