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Regulation is an important feature characterising many dynamical phenomena and can be tested within the threshold autoregressive setting, with the null hypothesis being a global non-stationary process. Nonetheless, this setting is debatable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Kung-Sik Chan , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Howell Tong

We consider a linear regression model and propose an omnibus test to simultaneously check the assumption of independence between the error and the predictor variables, and the goodness-of-fit of the parametric model. Our approach is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-06 Arnab Sen , Bodhisattva Sen

Surrogate data testing is a method frequently applied to evaluate the results of nonlinear time series analysis. Since the null hypothesis tested against is a linear, gaussian, stationary stochastic process a positive outcome may not only…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Tao Zou , Wei Lan , Runze Li , Chih-Ling Tsai

We describe a novel procedure for deciding when a mass-action model is incompatible with observed steady-state data that does not require any parameter estimation. Thus, we avoid the difficulties of nonlinear optimization typically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-30 Heather A. Harrington , Kenneth L. Ho , Thomas Thorne , Michael P. H. Stumpf

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

The stability of an Auto-Regressive (AR) time sequence of finite order $L$, is determined by the maximal modulus $r^\star$ among all zeros of its generating polynomial. If $r^\star<1$ then the effect of input and initial conditions decays…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Amir Dembo , Jian Ding , Jun Yan

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

We consider the problem of detecting deviations from a white noise assumption in time series. Our approach differs from the numerous methods proposed for this purpose with respect to two aspects. First, we allow for non-stationary time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Patrick Bastian

We propose a bootstrap testing framework for a general class of hypothesis tests, which allows resampling under the null hypothesis as well as other forms of bootstrapping. We identify combinations of resampling schemes and bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Alexis Derumigny , Miltiadis Galanis , Wieger Schipper , Aad van der Vaart

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

We consider the problem of testing significance of predictors in multivariate nonparametric quantile regression. A stochastic process is proposed, which is based on a comparison of the responses with a nonparametric quantile regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-15 Stanislav Volgushev , Melanie Birke , Holger Dette , Natalie Neumeyer

We propose an empirical likelihood ratio test for nonparametric model selection, where the competing models may be nested, nonnested, overlapping, misspecified, or correctly specified. It compares the squared prediction errors of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Jiancheng Jiang , Jiang Xuejun , Wang Haofeng

Let X; Z be r and s-dimensional covariates, respectively, used to model the response variable Y as Y = m(X;Z) + \sigma(X;Z)\epsilon. We develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that Z has no influence on the regression function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael G. Akritas

During the development of autonomous systems such as driverless cars, it is important to characterize the scenarios that are most likely to result in failure. Adaptive Stress Testing (AST) provides a way to search for the most-likely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-17 Mark Koren , Mykel Kochenderfer

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We tackle the stationarity issue of an autoregressive path with a polynomial trend, and we generalize some aspects of the LMC test, the testing procedure of Leybourne and McCabe. First, we show that it is possible to get the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Proïa Frédéric

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , M. Febrero-Bande