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We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the gauge approach to deduce the conformity score induced by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Paulo C. Marques F. , Helton Graziadei

The low statistical errors on cosmological parameters promised by future galaxy surveys will only be realised with the development of new, fast, analysis methods that reduce potential systematic problems to low levels. We present an…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-23 Rossana Ruggeri , Will Percival , Héctor Gil-Marín , Fangzhou Zhu , Gongbo Zhao , Yuting Wang

A possible gluon-condensate-induced modified-gravity model with f(R) \propto |R|^{1/2} has been suggested previously. Here, a simplified version is presented using the constant flat-spacetime equilibrium value of the QCD gluon condensate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-20 F. R. Klinkhamer

We consider the problem of nonparametric regression when the covariate is $d$-dimensional, where $d \geq 1$. In this paper we introduce and study two nonparametric least squares estimators (LSEs) in this setting---the entirely monotonic LSE…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Billy Fang , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Stochastic evolution equations with compensated Poisson noise are considered in the variational approach with monotone and coercive coefficients. Here the Poisson noise is assumed to be time-homogeneous with $\sigma$-finite intensity…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Sima Mehri , Erfan Salavati , Bijan Z. Zangeneh

Effective properties of composite materials are defined as the ensemble average of property-specific PDE solutions over the underlying microstructure distributions. Traditionally, predicting such properties can be done by solving PDEs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Guangyu Nie , Yang Jiao , Yi Ren

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

Bilinear Matrix Inequalities (BMIs) are fundamental to control system design but are notoriously difficult to solve due to their nonconvexity. This study addresses BMI-based control optimization problems by adapting and integrating advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-14 Syue-Cian Lin , Wei-Yu Chiu , Chien-Feng Wu

We study nonasymptotic minimax estimation of the linear functional $L(\theta)=\eta^\top \theta$ for a high-dimensional $s$-sparse mean vector with an arbitrary loading vector $\eta$. For symmetric noise with exponentially decaying tails, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Jie Xie , Dongming Huang

By using the underlying theory of proper scoring rules, we design a family of noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) methods that are tractable for latent variable models. Both terms in the underlying NCE loss, the one using data samples and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Christopher Zach

Foundational vision models, such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM), have achieved significant breakthroughs through extensive pre-training on large-scale visual datasets. Despite their general success, these models may fall short in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Ke Zhou , Zhongwei Qiu , Dongmei Fu

This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-03 Vadim Ustyuzhanin

Edge detection (ED) is a fundamental perceptual process in computer vision, forming the structural basis for high-level reasoning tasks such as segmentation, recognition, and scene understanding. Despite substantial progress achieved by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Hao Shu

We develop the mathematical foundations of the stochastic modified equations (SME) framework for analyzing the dynamics of stochastic gradient algorithms, where the latter is approximated by a class of stochastic differential equations with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Qianxiao Li , Cheng Tai , Weinan E

Recent advancements in learning algorithms have demonstrated that the sharpness of the loss surface is an effective measure for improving the generalization gap. Building upon this concept, Sharpness-Aware Minimization (SAM) was proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Tanapat Ratchatorn , Masayuki Tanaka

Consider the problem of estimating a multivariate normal mean with a known variance matrix, which is not necessarily proportional to the identity matrix. The coordinates are shrunk directly in proportion to their variances in Efron and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Zhiqiang Tan

This paper considers a practical scenario where a classical estimation method might have already been implemented on a certain platform when one tries to apply more advanced techniques such as moving horizon estimation (MHE). We are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-06 He Kong , Salah Sukkarieh

Functions with discontinuities appear in many applications such as image reconstruction, signal processing, optimal control problems, interface problems, engineering applications and so on. Accurate approximation and interpolation of these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Mohammad Karimnejad Esfahani , Stefano De Marchi , Francesco Marchetti

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

We propose the Variation Calibration Error (VCE) metric for assessing the calibration of machine learning classifiers. The metric can be viewed as an extension of the well-known Expected Calibration Error (ECE) which assesses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Andrew Thompson , Vivek Desai