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In this paper we develop a new approach to nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations with Gaussian noise. Our aim is to provide an abstract framework which is applicable to a large class of SPDEs and includes many important cases…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Antonio Agresti , Mark Veraar

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider reaction-diffusion equations that are stochastically forced by a small multiplicative noise term. We show that spectrally stable traveling wave solutions to the deterministic system retain their orbital stability if the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Christian Hamster , Hermen Jan Hupkes

Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are increasingly used to evaluate mobile health interventions with binary proximal outcomes. Standard inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimators are unbiased but unstable in small samples or under extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Jinho Cha , Eunchan Cha

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

We consider a process $X^\ve$ solution of a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular near zero, exhibiting a behavior comparable to $K\_0(u)=cu^{\alpha-1}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

Stratification is commonly employed in clinical trials to reduce the chance covariate imbalances and increase the precision of the treatment effect estimate. We propose a general framework for constructing the confidence interval (CI) for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yongqiang Tang

In this paper, the robust stability and convergence to the true state of moving horizon estimator based on an adaptive arrival cost are established for nonlinear detectable systems. Robust global asymptotic stability is shown for the case…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Marina H. Murillo , Guido Sanchez , Lucas M. Genzelis , Leonardo Giovanini

We emphasize that for a stochastic differential equation with isotropic stable additive noise and non Lipschitz drift, when considering an appropriate discretization scheme and the associated weak error, it is somehow natural to consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Stéphane Menozzi

In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

We revisit the classical problem of deriving convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in finite mixture models. The Wasserstein distance has become a standard loss function for the analysis of parameter estimation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho

Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

We present a novel multilevel Monte Carlo approach for estimating quantities of interest for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Drawing inspiration from [Giles and Szpruch: Antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo estimation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Andreas Stein

The approximation of data is a fundamental challenge encountered in various fields, including computer-aided geometric design, the numerical solution of partial differential equations, or the design of curves and surfaces. Numerous methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Inmaculada Garcés , José M. Ramón , Juan Ruiz-Álvarez , Dionisio F. Yáñez

In this paper, we are interested in least squares estimator for a class of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). More precisely, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic distribution of the least…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Panpan Ren , Jianglun Wu

A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Markus Schneider , Wolfgang Ertel , Günther Palm

Contrastive representation learning has been outstandingly successful in practice. In this work, we identify two key properties related to the contrastive loss: (1) alignment (closeness) of features from positive pairs, and (2) uniformity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Tongzhou Wang , Phillip Isola

We prove a maximum principle for mild solutions to stochastic evolution equations with (locally) Lipschitz coefficients and Wiener noise on weighted $L^2$ spaces. As an application, we provide sufficient conditions for the positivity of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Carlo Marinelli

We investigate an algorithm named histogram transform ensembles (HTE) density estimator whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance. On the theoretical side, by decomposing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Hanyuan Hang
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