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We investigate nonlinear instrumental variable (IV) regression given high-dimensional instruments. We propose a simple algorithm which combines kernelized IV methods and an arbitrary, adaptive regression algorithm, accessed as a black box.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Ziyu Wang , Yuhao Zhou , Jun Zhu

This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Vilde Jensen , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Stian Norman Anfinsen

In this paper we introduce new estimators of the coefficient functions in the varying coefficient regression model. The proposed estimators are obtained by projecting the vector of the full-dimensional kernel-weighted local polynomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

We consider instrumental variable estimation of the proportional hazards model of Cox (1972). The instrument and the endogenous variable are discrete but there can be (possibly continuous) exogenous covariables. By making a rank invariance…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 Lorenzo Tedesco , Jad Beyhum , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Instrumental variables (IVs) are often continuous, arising in diverse fields such as economics, epidemiology, and the social sciences. Existing approaches for continuous IVs typically impose strong parametric models or assume homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Mei Dong , Lin Liu , Dingke Tang , Geoffrey Liu , Wei Xu , Linbo Wang

We investigate a simple objective for nonlinear instrumental variable (IV) regression based on a kernelized conditional moment restriction (CMR) known as a maximum moment restriction (MMR). The MMR objective is formulated by maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Rui Zhang , Masaaki Imaizumi , Bernhard Schölkopf , Krikamol Muandet

A popular way to estimate the causal effect of a variable x on y from observational data is to use an instrumental variable (IV): a third variable z that affects y only through x. The more strongly z is associated with x, the more reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Zhaobin Kuang , Frederic Sala , Nimit Sohoni , Sen Wu , Aldo Córdova-Palomera , Jared Dunnmon , James Priest , Christopher Ré

We study instrumental-variable designs where policy reforms strongly shift the distribution of an endogenous variable but only weakly move its mean. We formalize this by introducing distributional relevance: instruments may be purely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-12 Rowan Cherodian , Guy Tchuente

Quantile regression \parencite{Koenker1978} is a robust and practically useful way to efficiently model quantile varying correlation and predict varied response quantiles of interest. This article constructs and tests MM algorithms, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Anthony Yung Cheung Kuk

Quantile regression (QR) is becoming increasingly popular due to its relevance in many scientific investigations. There is a great amount of work about linear and nonlinear QR models. Specifically, nonparametric estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-13 Eliana Christou

We propose a notion of conditional vector quantile function and a vector quantile regression. A \emph{conditional vector quantile function} (CVQF) of a random vector $Y$, taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ given covariates $Z=z$, taking values…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Guillaume Carlier , Victor Chernozhukov , Alfred Galichon

We propose the instrumental variable regime (IVR) method to estimate the causal effects of multiple sequential treatments. This method serves to address the problem of endogenous selections of sequential treatments. An IVR is a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-21 Thai Pham , Weixin Chen

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

The instrumental variable (IV) approach is a widely used way to estimate the causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data with latent confounders. A standard IV is expected to be related to the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Quantum computing technology has the potential to revolutionize the simulation of materials and molecules in the near future. A primary challenge in achieving near-term quantum advantage is effectively mitigating the noise effects inherent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-17 Tao Jiang , John Rogers , Marius S. Frank , Ove Christiansen , Yong-Xin Yao , Nicola Lanatà

Quantum sensing exploits non-classical effects to overcome limitations of classical sensors, with applications ranging from gravitational-wave detection to nanoscale imaging. However, practical quantum sensors built on noisy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Ivana Nikoloska , Hamdi Joudeh , Ruud van Sloun , Osvaldo Simeone

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Instrumental variables (IVs) are a popular and powerful tool for estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, classical approaches rely on strong assumptions such as the $\textit{exclusion criterion}$, which…

A basic principle in the design of observational studies is to approximate the randomized experiment that would have been conducted under controlled circumstances. Now, linear regression models are commonly used to analyze observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

A multivariate errors-in-variables (EIV) model with an intercept term, and a polynomial EIV model are considered. Focus is made on a structural homoskedastic case, where vectors of covariates are i.i.d. and measurement errors are i.i.d. as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Alexander Kukush , Ivan Senko