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We show that the popular reinforcement learning (RL) strategy of estimating the state-action value (Q-function) by minimizing the mean squared Bellman error leads to a regression problem with confounding, the inputs and output noise being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Yutian Chen , Liyuan Xu , Caglar Gulcehre , Tom Le Paine , Arthur Gretton , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

This paper discusses endogenous treatment models with duration outcomes, competing risks and random right censoring. The endogeneity issue is solved using a discrete instrumental variable. We show that the competing risks model generates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Jad Beyhum , Jean-Pierre Florens , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Stochastic convex optimization, where the objective is the expectation of a random convex function, is an important and widely used method with numerous applications in machine learning, statistics, operations research and other areas. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Vitaly Feldman , Cristobal Guzman , Santosh Vempala

This paper considers estimation and model selection of quantile vector autoregression (QVAR). Conventional quantile regression often yields undesirable crossing quantile curves, violating the monotonicity of quantiles. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Tomohiro Ando , Tadao Hoshino , Ruey Tsay

Quantization methods have been introduced to perform large scale approximate nearest search tasks. Residual Vector Quantization (RVQ) is one of the effective quantization methods. RVQ uses a multi-stage codebook learning scheme to lower the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Shicong Liu , Hongtao Lu , Junru Shao

The manuscript discusses how to incorporate random effects for quantile regression models for clustered data with focus on settings with many but small clusters. The paper has three contributions: (i) documenting that existing methods may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Maria Laura Battagliola , Helle Sørensen , Anders Tolver , Ana-Maria Staicu

In settings where Machine Learning (ML) algorithms automate or inform consequential decisions about people, individual decision subjects are often incentivized to strategically modify their observable attributes to receive more favorable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Keegan Harris , Daniel Ngo , Logan Stapleton , Hoda Heidari , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This paper explores Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in SVM predictions, particularly for regression and forecasting tasks. Unlike the Neural Network, the SVM solutions are typically more stable, sparse, optimal and interpretable. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Pritam Anand

Quantization is a fundamental optimization for many machine-learning use cases, including compressing gradients, model weights and activations, and datasets. The most accurate form of quantization is \emph{adaptive}, where the error is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Ran Ben-Basat , Yaniv Ben-Itzhak , Michael Mitzenmacher , Shay Vargaftik

In this paper we investigate panel regression models with interactive fixed effects. We propose two new estimation methods that are based on minimizing convex objective functions. The first method minimizes the sum of squared residuals with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Hyungsik Roger Moon , Martin Weidner

We suggest two nonparametric approaches, based on kernel methods and orthogonal series to estimating regression functions in the presence of instrumental variables. For the first time in this class of problems, we derive optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Joel L. Horowitz

Hybrid variational quantum algorithms are promising for solving practical problems, such as combinatorial optimization, quantum chemistry simulation, quantum machine learning, and quantum error correction on noisy quantum computers.…

This paper establishes that so-called instrumental variables enable the identification and the estimation of a fully nonparametric regression model with Berkson-type measurement error in the regressors. An estimator is proposed and proven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-15 Susanne M. Schennach

Quantile regression (QR) is a principal regression method for analyzing the impact of covariates on outcomes. The impact is described by the conditional quantile function and its functionals. In this paper we develop the nonparametric…

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are becoming increasingly popular as they seem to offer the only viable way to overcome the problem of unobserved confounding in observational studies. However, some attention has to be paid to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-03 Vanessa Didelez , Sha Meng , Nuala A. Sheehan

The quantification of uncertainty in prediction models is crucial for reliable decision-making, yet remains a significant challenge. Interval time series forecasting offers a principled solution to this problem by providing prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Miaoxuan Zhu , Yi Yu , Yuyang Li , Wei Li , Guangcan Liu

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Wei Li , Jiapeng Liu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

This paper considers the problem of nonparametric quantile regression under the assumption that the target conditional quantile function is a composition of a sequence of low-dimensional functions. We study the nonparametric quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Joel L. Horowitz , Jian Huang

Instrumental variable (IV) methods allow us the opportunity to address unmeasured confounding in causal inference. However, most IV methods are only applicable to discrete or continuous outcomes with very few IV methods for censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Youjin Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Nandita Mitra

This paper is concerned with the estimating problem of response quantile with high dimensional covariates when response is missing at random. Some existing methods define root-n consistent estimators for the response quantile. But these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang
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