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For a probability distribution $P$ on an at most countable alphabet $\mathcal A$, this article gives finite sample bounds for the expected occupancy counts $\mathbb E K_{n,r}$ and probabilities $\mathbb E M_{n,r}$. Both upper and lower…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Geoffrey Decrouez , Michael Grabchak , Quentin Paris

Consider $ m $ copies of an irreducible, aperiodic Markov chain $ Y $ taking values in a finite state space. The asymptotics as $ m $ tends to infinity, of the first time from which on the trajectories of the $ m $ copies differ, have been…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Silvia Businger

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

We study a stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic dynamics on network, under the effect of a Markovian regime-switching. We first prove the existence of a unique global positive solution, and find a positive invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Michel Benaïm , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

We consider a risk-sensitive optimization of consumption-utility on infinite time horizon where the one-period investment gain depends on an underlying economic state whose evolution over time is assumed to be described by a discrete-time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana , Tak Kuen Siu

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Switching ARMA models greatly enhance the standard linear models to the extent that different ARMA model is allowed in a different regime, and the regime switching is typically assumed a Markov chain on the finite states of potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gopal K. Basak , Zhan-Qian Lu

This paper collects facts about the number of occupied boxes in the classical balls-in-boxes occupancy scheme with infinitely many positive frequencies: equivalently, about the number of species represented in samples from populations with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Alexander Gnedin , Ben Hansen , Jim Pitman

The classical and extended occupancy distributions are useful for examining the number of occupied bins in problems involving random allocation of balls to bins. We examine the extended occupancy problem by framing it as a Markov chain and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Ben O'Neill

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Carl Nuzman , Phil Whiting

In the classical occupancy scheme, one considers a fixed discrete probability measure ${\bf p}=(p_i: {i\in{\cal I}})$ and throws balls independently at random in boxes labeled by ${\cal I}$, such that $p_i$ is the probability that a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-09 Jean Bertoin

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Testing for regime switching when the regime switching probabilities are specified either as constants (`mixture models') or are governed by a finite-state Markov chain (`Markov switching models') are long-standing problems that have also…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-13 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Ross McVinish , Philip K. Pollett

We analyze opportunistic schemes for transmission scheduling from one of $n$ homogeneous queues whose channel states fluctuate independently. Considered schemes consist of the LCQ policy, which transmits from a longest connected queue in…

Performance · Computer Science 2008-10-02 Murat Alanyali , Maxim Dashouk

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models frequently used in, but not limited to, biochemistry. These models are continuous-time Markov chains whose transition rates depend on certain parameters called rate constants, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Daniele Cappelletti , Aidan Howells , Chuang Xu

This paper deals with optimal prediction in a regime-switching model driven by a continuous-time Markov chain. We extend existing results for geometric Brownian motion by deriving optimal stopping strategies that depend on the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Yue Liu , Nicolas Privault

Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-01-31 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu
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