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A discrete statistical model is a subset of a probability simplex. Its maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a retraction from that simplex onto the model. We characterize all models for which this retraction is a rational function. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Eliana Duarte , Orlando Marigliano , Bernd Sturmfels

We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

We present a path planning framework that takes into account the human's safety perception in the presence of a flying robot. The framework addresses two objectives: (i) estimation of the uncertain parameters of the proposed safety…

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

Accurate disturbance estimation is essential for safe robot operations. The recently proposed neural moving horizon estimation (NeuroMHE), which uses a portable neural network to model the MHE's weightings, has shown promise in further…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Bingheng Wang , Xuyang Chen , Lin Zhao

In this paper we focus on the dynamic state estimation which harnesses a vast amount of sensing data harvested by multiple parties and recognize that in many applications, to improve collaborations between parties, the estimation procedure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Yuqing Ni , Junfeng Wu , Li Li , Ling Shi

Estimating and reacting to disturbances is crucial for robust flight control of quadrotors. Existing estimators typically require significant tuning for a specific flight scenario or training with extensive ground-truth disturbance data to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Bingheng Wang , Zhengtian Ma , Shupeng Lai , Lin Zhao

Road information such as road profile and traffic density have been widely used in intelligent vehicle systems to improve road safety, ride comfort, and fuel economy. However, vehicle heterogeneity and parameter uncertainty make it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 Huan Gao , Zhaojian Li , Yongqiang Wang

We present a stochastic model predictive control framework for nonlinear systems subject to unbounded process noise with closed-loop guarantees. First, we provide a conceptual shrinking-horizon framework that utilizes general probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper furthers current research into the notion of guaranteed privacy, which provides a deterministic characterization of the privacy of output signals of a dynamical system or mechanism. Unlike stochastic differential privacy,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Mohammad Khajenejad , Sonia Martinez

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin

Machine Learning (ML) has become one of the most impactful fields of data science in recent years. However, a significant concern with ML is its privacy risks due to rising attacks against ML models. Privacy-Preserving Machine Learning…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Khoa Nguyen , Mindaugas Budzys , Eugene Frimpong , Tanveer Khan , Antonis Michalas

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

Deploying autonomous systems in safety critical settings necessitates methods to verify their safety properties. This is challenging because real-world systems may be subject to disturbances that affect their performance, but are unknown a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Nicholas Rober , Karan Mahesh , Tyler M. Paine , Max L. Greene , Steven Lee , Sildomar T. Monteiro , Michael R. Benjamin , Jonathan P. How

This paper presents a differentially private approach to Kaplan-Meier estimation that achieves accurate survival probability estimates while safeguarding individual privacy. The Kaplan-Meier estimator is widely used in survival analysis to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Narasimha Raghavan Veeraragavan , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Jan Franz Nygård

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions is essential for high-stakes domains such as autonomous driving, healthcare, and manufacturing. While existing approaches often depend on costly sampling or restrictive distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Eunseo Choi , Ho-Yeon Kim , Jaewon Lee , Taeyong jo , Myungjun lee , Heejin Ahn

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

In this paper, the robust stability and convergence to the true state of moving horizon estimator based on an adaptive arrival cost are established for nonlinear detectable systems. Robust global asymptotic stability is shown for the case…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Marina H. Murillo , Guido Sanchez , Lucas M. Genzelis , Leonardo Giovanini