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We propose and analyze a mathematical model for the evolution of opinions on directed complex networks. Our model generalizes the popular DeGroot and Friedkin-Johnsen models by allowing vertices to have attributes that may influence the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Nicolas Fraiman , Tzu-Chi Lin , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

We derive new discrete event simulation algorithms for marked time point processes. The main idea is to couple a special structure, namely the associated local independence graph, as defined by Didelez arXiv:0710.5874, with the activity…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-05 Cyrille Mascart , Alexandre Muzy , Patricia Reynaud-bouret

Temporal networks are characterised by interdependent link events between nodes, forming ordered sequences of links that may represent specific information flows in the system. Nevertheless, representing temporal networks using discrete…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Yuwei Zhu , Paolo Barucca

The field of predictive process monitoring focuses on case-level models to predict a single specific outcome such as a particular objective, (remaining) time, or next activity/remaining sequence. Recently, a longer-horizon, model-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

The importance of domain knowledge in enhancing model performance and making reliable predictions in the real-world is critical. This has led to an increased focus on specific model properties for interpretability. We focus on incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Akhil Gupta , Naman Shukla , Lavanya Marla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Kartik Yellepeddi

We determine the large size limit of a network of interacting Hawkes Processes on an adaptive network. The flipping of the node variables is taken to have an intensity given by the mean-field of the afferent edges and nodes. The flipping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 James MacLaurin

Neural network models in neuroscience allow one to study how the connections between neurons shape the activity of neural circuits in the brain. In this chapter, we study Combinatorial Threshold-Linear Networks (CTLNs) in order to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-05 Katherine Morrison , Carina Curto

Recurrent neural networks are widely used in speech and language processing. Due to dependency on the past, standard algorithms for training these models, such as back-propagation through time (BPTT), cannot be efficiently parallelised.…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-07 Zhengxiong Wang , Anton Ragni

This paper presents an algorithm for the simulation of Hawkes-type processes where the intensity is expressed in terms of a continuous-time autoregressive moving average model. We identify upper bounds for both the univariate and the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-10 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Constraint based causal structure learning for point processes require empirical tests of local independence. Existing tests require strong model assumptions, e.g. that the true data generating model is a Hawkes process with no latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Nikolaj Thams , Niels Richard Hansen

This article introduces autocorrelograms for time series of point processes. Such time series usually arise when a longer temporal or spatio-temporal point process is sliced into smaller time units; for example, when an annual process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Daniel Gervini

While spike timing has been shown to carry detailed stimulus information at the sensory periphery, its possible role in network computation is less clear. Most models of computation by neural networks are based on population firing rates.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-17 Michael A. Schwemmer , Adrienne L. Fairhall , Sophie Denéve , Eric T. Shea-Brown

We study noisy calcium imaging data, with a focus on the classification of spike traces. As raw traces obscure the true temporal structure of neuron's activity, we performed a tuned filtering of the calcium concentration using two methods:…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-17 Arianna Burzacchi , Nicoletta D'Angelo , David Payares-Garcia , Jorge Mateu

A point process model for order flows in limit order books is proposed, in which the conditional intensity is the product of a Hawkes component and a state-dependent factor. In the LOB context, state observations may include the observed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Emmanouil Sfendourakis , Ioane Muni Toke

Directed information theory deals with communication channels with feedback. When applied to networks, a natural extension based on causal conditioning is needed. We show here that measures built from directed information theory in networks…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-02 P. O. Amblard , O. J. J. Michel

To gain a deeper understanding of the behavior and learning dynamics of (deep) artificial neural networks, it is valuable to employ mathematical abstractions and models. These tools provide a simplified perspective on network performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Stephan Johann Lehmler , Muhammad Saif-ur-Rehman , Tobias Glasmachers , Ioannis Iossifidis

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We develop TwinKernel methods for nonparametric estimation of intensity functions of point processes. Building on the general TwinKernel framework and combining it with martingale techniques for counting processes, we construct estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Jocelyn Nembé