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In adaptive data analysis, the user makes a sequence of queries on the data, where at each step the choice of query may depend on the results in previous steps. The releases are often randomized in order to reduce overfitting for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Yu-Xiang Wang , Jing Lei , Stephen E. Fienberg

Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

We study nonasymptotic minimax estimation of the linear functional $L(\theta)=\eta^\top \theta$ for a high-dimensional $s$-sparse mean vector with an arbitrary loading vector $\eta$. For symmetric noise with exponentially decaying tails, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Jie Xie , Dongming Huang

We study the problem of estimating piecewise monotone vectors. This problem can be seen as a generalization of the isotonic regression that allows a small number of order-violating changepoints. We focus mainly on the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kentaro Minami

Experimental designs that are minimax in the presence of model misspecifications have been constructed so as to minimize the maximum, over classes of alternate response models, of the integrated mean squared error of the predicted values.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Rui Hu , Douglas P. Wiens

Given a large number of covariates $Z$, we consider the estimation of a high-dimensional parameter $\theta$ in an individualized linear threshold $\theta^T Z$ for a continuous variable $X$, which minimizes the disagreement between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Huijie Feng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

In this paper we initiate a study of non parametric contextual bandits under shape constraints on the mean reward function. Specifically, we study a setting where the context is one dimensional, and the mean reward function is isotonic with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Subhabrata Sen

Isotonic regression is a shape-constrained nonparametric regression in which the regression is an increasing step function. For $n$ data points, the number of steps in the isotonic regression may be as large as $n$. As a result, standard…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Janis Hardwick , Quentin F. Stout

We study limit distributions for the tuning-free max-min block estimator originally proposed in [FLN17] in the problem of multiple isotonic regression, under both fixed lattice design and random design settings. We show that, if the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Qiyang Han , Cun-Hui Zhang

We study the problem of designing minimax procedures in linear regression under the quantile risk. We start by considering the realizable setting with independent Gaussian noise, where for any given noise level and distribution of inputs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

We consider the problem of adaptive estimation of the regression function in a framework where we replace ergodicity assumptions (such as independence or mixing) by another structural assumption on the model. Namely, we propose adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-03 Sylvain Delattre , Stéphane Gaïffas

We consider the estimation of a structural function which models a non-parametric relationship between a response and an endogenous regressor given an instrument in presence of dependence in the data generating process. Assuming an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

We quantify the minimax rate for a nonparametric regression model over a star-shaped function class $\mathcal{F}$ with bounded diameter. We obtain a minimax rate of ${\varepsilon^{\ast}}^2\wedge\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal{F})^2$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Akshay Prasadan , Matey Neykov

Estimation and inference in statistics pose significant challenges when data are collected adaptively. Even in linear models, the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator may fail to exhibit asymptotic normality for single coordinate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Licong Lin , Mufang Ying , Suvrojit Ghosh , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

Consider the standard Gaussian linear regression model $Y=X\theta+\epsilon$, where $Y\in R^n$ is a response vector and $ X\in R^{n*p}$ is a design matrix. Numerous work have been devoted to building efficient estimators of $\theta$ when $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Nicolas Verzelen

We show that two polynomial time methods, a Lasso estimator with adaptively chosen tuning parameter and a Slope estimator, adaptively achieve the exact minimax prediction and $\ell_2$ estimation rate $(s/n)\log (p/s)$ in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Pierre C. Bellec , Guillaume Lecué , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We study a family of sparse estimators defined as minimizers of some empirical Lipschitz loss function -- which include the hinge loss, the logistic loss and the quantile regression loss -- with a convex, sparse or group-sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-23 Antoine Dedieu

We present estimators for a well studied statistical estimation problem: the estimation for the linear regression model with soft sparsity constraints ($\ell_q$ constraint with $0<q\leq1$) in the high-dimensional setting. We first present a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Li Zhang

In the standard Gaussian linear measurement model $Y=X\mu_0+\xi \in \mathbb{R}^m$ with a fixed noise level $\sigma>0$, we consider the problem of estimating the unknown signal $\mu_0$ under a convex constraint $\mu_0 \in K$, where $K$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Qiyang Han

We consider the problem of estimating the structural function in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jan Johannes , Maik Schwarz