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Related papers: Isotonic Regression in Multi-Dimensional Spaces an…

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We derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data absent any realizability assumptions. In contrast to the strictly realizable martingale noise regime, no sharp instance-optimal non-asymptotics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu

We propose a randomized lattice algorithm for approximating multivariate periodic functions over the $d$-dimensional unit cube from the weighted Korobov space with mixed smoothness $\alpha > 1/2$ and product weights…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Mou Cai , Takashi Goda , Yoshihito Kazashi

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

We propose an adversarial evaluation framework for sensitive feature inference based on minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimation with a finite sample size and linear predictive models. Our approach establishes theoretical lower bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 Monica Welfert , Nathan Stromberg , Mario Diaz , Lalitha Sankar

Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Arindam Banerjee , Sheng Chen , Farideh Fazayeli , Vidyashankar Sivakumar

We study nonparametric regression over Besov spaces from noisy observations under sub-exponential noise, aiming to achieve minimax-optimal guarantees on the integrated squared error that hold with high probability and adapt to the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

We propose a new adaptive hypothesis test for inequality (e.g., monotonicity, convexity) and equality (e.g., parametric, semiparametric) restrictions on a structural function in a nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) model. Our test…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Christoph Breunig , Xiaohong Chen

We study the problem of estimating an unknown function from noisy data using shallow ReLU neural networks. The estimators we study minimize the sum of squared data-fitting errors plus a regularization term proportional to the squared…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-24 Rahul Parhi , Robert D. Nowak

We consider the problem of performing linear regression over a stream of $d$-dimensional examples, and show that any algorithm that uses a subquadratic amount of memory exhibits a slower rate of convergence than can be achieved without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Vatsal Sharan , Aaron Sidford , Gregory Valiant

Isotonic regression is a standard problem in shape-constrained estimation where the goal is to estimate an unknown nondecreasing regression function $f$ from independent pairs $(x_i, y_i)$ where $\mathbb{E}[y_i]=f(x_i), i=1, \ldots n$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Philippe Rigollet , Jonathan Weed

Adapting to a priori unknown noise level is a very important but challenging problem in sequential decision-making as efficient exploration typically requires knowledge of the noise level, which is often loosely specified. We report…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Kwang-Sung Jun , Jungtaek Kim

We consider estimating the Shannon entropy of a discrete distribution $P$ from $n$ i.i.d. samples. Recently, Jiao, Venkat, Han, and Weissman, and Wu and Yang constructed approximation theoretic estimators that achieve the minimax $L_2$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

We develop polynomial-time algorithms for near-optimal minimax mean estimation under $\ell_2$-squared loss in a Gaussian sequence model under convex constraints. The parameter space is an origin-symmetric, type-2 convex body $K \subset…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Matey Neykov

The central subspace of a pair of random variables $(y,x) \in \mathbb{R}^{p+1}$ is the minimal subspace $\mathcal{S}$ such that $y \perp \hspace{-2mm} \perp x\mid P_{\mathcal{S}}x$. In this paper, we consider the minimax rate of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Qian Lin , Xinran Li , Dongming Huang , Jun S. Liu

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

When the unknown regression function of a single variable is known to have derivatives up to the $(\gamma+1)$th order bounded in absolute values by a common constant everywhere or a.e. (i.e., $(\gamma+1)$th degree of smoothness), the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Ying Zhu

This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski

We study minimax rates for high-dimensional linear regression with additive errors under the $\ell_p\ (1\leq p<\infty)$-losses, where the regression parameter is of weak sparsity. Our lower and upper bounds agree up to constant factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

In this paper we study the statistical properties of Laplacian smoothing, a graph-based approach to nonparametric regression. Under standard regularity conditions, we establish upper bounds on the error of the Laplacian smoothing estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-04 Alden Green , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Ryan J. Tibshirani
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