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Measuring the effect of patient safety improvement efforts is needed to determine their value but is difficult due to the inherent complexities of hospital operations. In this paper, we show by case study how interrupted time series design…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-28 Diego A. Martinez , Mehdi Jalalpour , David T. Efron , Scott R. Levin

We introduce a dengue model (SEIR) where the human individuals are treated on an individual basis (IBM) while the mosquito population, produced by an independent model, is treated by compartments (SEI). We study the spread of epidemics by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Marcelo J Otero , Daniel H Barmak , Claudio O Dorso , Hernán G Solari , Mario A Natiello

Time-varying network topologies can deeply influence dynamical processes mediated by them. Memory effects in the pattern of interactions among individuals are also known to affect how diffusive and spreading phenomena take place. In this…

In this paper, we present a mathematical model to describe the temporal evolution of delinquent behavior, treating it as a socially transmitted phenomenon influenced by peer interactions, thus similar to an epidemic. We consider a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-26 Alessandro Ramponi , M. Elisabetta Tessitore

Pharmaceutical targeting is one of key inputs for making sales and marketing strategy planning. Targeting list is built on predicting physician's sales potential of certain type of patient. In this paper, we present a time-sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Weiyu Huang , Yunlong Wang , Li Zhou , Emily Zhao , Yilian Yuan , Alejandro Ribero

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

The metapopulation framework is adopted in a wide array of disciplines to describe systems of well separated yet connected subpopulations. The subgroups or patches are often represented as nodes in a network whose links represent the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-27 Suyu Liu , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

Motivated by health care systems with repeated services that have both personnel (nurse and physician) and space (beds) constraints, we study a restricted version of the Erlang-R model. The space restriction policies we consider are…

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto

We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Crime prevention measures, aiming for the effective and efficient spending of public resources, rely on the empirical analysis of spatial and temporal data for public safety outcomes. We perform a variable-density cluster analysis on crime…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ben Moews

In this study, we develop the mathematical model to understand the coupling between the spreading dynamics of infectious diseases and the mobility dynamics through urban transportation systems. We first describe the mobility dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri

People interact face-to-face on a frequent basis if (i) they live nearby and (ii) make the choice to meet. The first constitutes an availability of social ties; the second a propensity to interact with those ties. Despite being distinct…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Jericho McLeod , Unchitta Kan , Eduardo López

To optimize mobile health interventions and advance domain knowledge on intervention design, it is critical to understand how the intervention effect varies over time and with contextual information. This study aims to assess how a push…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jiaxin Yu , Tianchen Qian

This paper studies a service system in which arriving customers are provided with information about the delay they will experience. Based on this information they decide to wait for service or to leave the system. Specifically, every…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Yoshiaki Inoue , Liron Ravner , Michel Mandjes

Introduction: Systems that exist in the hospital or clinic settings are capable of providing services in the physical environment. These systems (e.g., Picture Archiving and communication systems) provide remote service for patients. To…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-23 B Rahimi , S Karimian , A Ghaznavi , M Jafari Heydarlou

Service systems like data centers and ride-hailing are popularly modeled as queueing systems in the literature. Such systems are primarily studied in the steady state due to their analytical tractability. However, almost all applications in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Hoang Huy Nguyen , Sushil Mahavir Varma , Siva Theja Maguluri

We study how a behavior (an idea, buying a product, having a disease, adopting a cultural fad or a technology) spreads among agents in an a social network that exhibits segregation or homophily (the tendency of agents to associate with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-11-02 Matthew O. Jackson , Dunia Lopez-Pintado

This paper considers the dispatching of large-scale real-time ride-sharing systems to address congestion issues faced by many cities. The goal is to serve all customers (service guarantees) with a small number of vehicles while minimizing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Connor Riley , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Enpeng Yuan