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We present a novel probabilistic programming framework that couples directly to existing large-scale simulators through a cross-platform probabilistic execution protocol, which allows general-purpose inference engines to record and control…

In recent years, the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm has been found to work more efficiently compared to other popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods (such as random walk Metropolis-Hastings) in generating samples from a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-18 Andrew L. Beam , Sujit K. Ghosh , Jon Doyle

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo based approximations of expectations of random variables such that their laws are only available via certain discretizations. Sampling from the discretized versions of these laws can typically…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-17 Dan Crisan , Pierre Del Moral , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

For big data analysis, high computational cost for Bayesian methods often limits their applications in practice. In recent years, there have been many attempts to improve computational efficiency of Bayesian inference. Here we propose an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is one of the most powerful sequence models. Despite the strong performance, however, it lacks the nice interpretability as in state space models. In this paper, we present a way to combine the best of both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Xun Zheng , Manzil Zaheer , Amr Ahmed , Yuan Wang , Eric P Xing , Alexander J Smola

Numerous capability and safety techniques of Large Language Models (LLMs), including RLHF, automated red-teaming, prompt engineering, and infilling, can be cast as sampling from an unnormalized target distribution defined by a given reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Stephen Zhao , Rob Brekelmans , Alireza Makhzani , Roger Grosse

State space models (SSM) have been widely applied for the analysis and visualization of large sequential datasets. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a very popular particle-based method to sample latent states from intractable posteriors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Duo Xu

We develop a classical Monte Carlo algorithm based on a quasi-classical approximation for a pseudospin S=1 Hamiltonian in real space to construct a phase diagram of a model cuprate with a high Tc. A model description takes into account both…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2021-10-25 Yu. D. Panov , A. S. Moskvin , A. A. Chikov , V. A. Ulitko

In order to solve quantum field theory in a non-perturbative way, Lagrangian lattice simulations have been very successful. Here we discuss a recently proposed alternative Hamiltonian lattice formulation - the Monte Carlo Hamiltonian. In…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Kröger , X. Q. Luo , K. J. M. Moriarty

We propose a framework that integrates classical Monte Carlo simulators and Wasserstein generative adversarial networks to model, estimate, and simulate a broad class of arrival processes with general non-stationary and multi-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yufeng Zheng , Zeyu Zheng , Tingyu Zhu

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Three possibilities to speed up the Hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm are investigated. Changing the step-size adaptively brings no practical gain. On the other hand, substantial improvements result from using an approximate Hamiltonian or a…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-28 Philippe de Forcrand , Tetsuya Takaishi

We apply the Hybrid Monte Carlo method to the simulation of overlap fermions. We give the fermionic force for the molecular dynamics update. We present early results on a small dynamical chiral ensemble.

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-11-10 N. Cundy , S. Krieg , A. Frommer , Th. Lippert , K. Schilling

Across many domains of science, stochastic models are an essential tool to understand the mechanisms underlying empirically observed data. Models can be of different levels of detail and accuracy, with models of high-fidelity (i.e., high…

In a computer experiment the choice of suitable estimators to measure a physical quantity plays an important role. We propose a new direct route to determine estimators for observables which do not commute with the Hamiltonian. Our new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-11 Riccardo Fantoni

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a prominent Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which employs symplectic integrators to sample from high dimensional target distributions in many applications, such as statistical mechanics, Bayesian statistics…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Geoffrey McGregor , Andy T. S. Wan

Renewal models are widely used in statistical epidemiology as semi-mechanistic models of disease transmission. While primarily used for estimating the instantaneous reproduction number, they can also be used for generating projections,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Nicholas Steyn , Kris V. Parag , Robin N. Thompson , Christl A. Donnelly

By leveraging the natural geometry of a smooth probabilistic system, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo yields computationally efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation. At least provided that the algorithm is sufficiently well-tuned. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Michael Betancourt

In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

A scheme for separating the high- and low-frequency molecular dynamics modes in Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) simulations of gauge theories with dynamical fermions is presented. The algorithm is tested in the Schwinger model with Wilson…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-08-14 Mike Peardon , James Sexton