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This paper describes a flexible approach to short term prediction of meteorological variables. In particular, we focus on the prediction of the solar irradiance one hour ahead, a task that has high practical value when optimizing solar…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Pierrick Bruneau , Philippe Pinheiro , Yoann Didry

Determining the relative brightness of the solar corona is one of the most critical stages in solar eclipse studies. For this purpose, images taken with different exposures and polarization angles in white-light observations are used. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-01 Hikmet Çakmak

In this paper, we present a method to determine the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from the power measurements of one or more PV systems, located in the same neighborhood. The method is completely unsupervised and is based on a physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

We describe an experimental setup developed aiming to irradiate samples under UV radiation for accelerated test for solar effects according to the relevant ECSS-ESA standards. This facility has been already used for projects belonging to…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-02-12 Ali Behcet Alpat , Giovanni Bartolini , Sarah Bollanti , Paolo Di Lazzaro , Daniele Murra , Talifujiang Wusimanjiang

Model simulations of solar irradiance reaching the Earth's surface during a solar eclipse constitute a useful tool for studying the impact of this phenomenon on the radiance propagation through the atmosphere. A simple approach to extend…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 Boyan Petkov , Claudio Tomasi , Vito Vitale , Christian Lanconelli , Mauro Mazzola

This paper compares different forecasting methods and models to predict average values of solar irradiance with a sampling time of 15 min over a prediction horizon of up to 3 h. The methods considered only require historic solar irradiance…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-30 Christian A. Hans , Elin Klages

Among several heliophysical and geophysical quantities, the accurate evolution of the solar irradiance is fundamental to forecast the evolution of the neutral and ionized components of the Earth's atmosphere.We developed an artificial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-23 Luis Eduardo A. Vieira , Thierry Dudok de Wit , Matthieu Kretzschmar

This communication is devoted to solar irradiance and irradiation short-term forecasts, which are useful for electricity production. Several different time series approaches are employed. Our results and the corresponding numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-29 Cédric Join , Cyril Voyant , Michel Fliess , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet , Christophe Paoli , Frédéric Chaxel

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

Estimating the amount of electricity that can be produced by rooftop photovoltaic systems is a time-consuming process that requires on-site measurements, a difficult task to achieve on a large scale. In this paper, we present an approach to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Daniel de Barros Soares , François Andrieux , Bastien Hell , Julien Lenhardt , Jordi Badosa , Sylvain Gavoille , Stéphane Gaiffas , Emmanuel Bacry

The engineering of solar power applications, such as photovoltaic energy (PV) or thermal solar energy requires the knowledge of the solar resource available for the solar energy system. This solar resource is generally obtained from…

Space Physics · Physics 2014-10-17 Jonathan Leloux , Luis Narvarte , Loreto Gonzalez-Bonilla

Power prediction is crucial to the efficiency and reliability of Photovoltaic (PV) systems. For the model-chain-based (also named indirect or physical) power prediction, the conversion of ground environmental data (plane-of-array irradiance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Baojie Li , Xin Chen , Anubhav Jain

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach for estimating material parameters in solar cells. Traditional methods for parameter extraction often rely on time-consuming numerical simulations that fail to capture the full complexity…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-17 Eunchi Kim , Paula Hartnagel , Barbara Urbano , Leonard Christen , Thomas Kirchartz

Weather is one of the main problems in implementing forecasts for photovoltaic panel systems. Since it is the main generator of disturbances and interruptions in electrical energy. It is necessary to choose a reliable forecasting model for…

Stochastic heating is a non-linear heating mechanism driven by the violation of magnetic moment invariance due to large-amplitude turbulent fluctuations producing diffusion of ions towards higher kinetic energies in the direction…

This paper presents a set of methods for estimating the renewable energy generation downstream of a measurement device using real-world measurements. First, we present a generation disaggregation scheme where the only information available…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Emre C. Kara , Ciaran M. Roberts , Michaelangelo Tabone , Lilliana Alvarez , Duncan S. Callaway , Emma M. Stewart

Most of the research work in the solar potential analysis is performed utilizing aerial imagery, LiDAR data, and satellite imagery. However, in the existing studies using satellite data, parameters such as trees/ vegetation shadow, adjacent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Jai Singla

A solar panel harvests the most energy when pointing in the direction that maximizes the total illumination (irradiance) falling on it. Given an arbitrary panel orientation and an arbitrary environmental illumination, we address the problem…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Jeremy Klotz , Shree K. Nayar