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Solar irradiance is the primary input for all solar energy generation systems. The amount of available solar radiation over time under the local weather conditions helps to decide the optimal location, technology and size of a solar energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

Owing to the growing concern of global warming and over-dependence on fossil fuels, there has been a huge interest in last years in the deployment of Photovoltaic (PV) systems for generating electricity. The output power of a PV array…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-18 Soumyabrata Dev , Tarek AlSkaif , Murhaf Hossari , Radu Godina , Atse Louwen , Wilfried van Sark

This article addresses the formulation and validation of a simple PC based software application developed for simulating commercially available solar panels. The important feature of this application is its capability to produce speedy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-22 Nalika Ulapane , Sunil Abeyratne , Prabath Binduhewa , Chamari Dhanapala , Shyama Wickramasinghe , Nimal Rathnayake

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Most solar applications and systems can be reliably used to generate electricity and power in many homes and offices. Recently, there is an increase in many solar required systems that can be found not only in electricity generation but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Shahriar Rahman , Shazzadur Rahman , A K M Bahalul Haque

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Due to the increasing proportion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) production in the generation mix, the knowledge of the PV generation capacity has become a key factor. In this work, we propose to compute the PV plant maximum power starting…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Enrica Scolari , Fabrizio Sossan , Mario Paolone

Estimates of the photospheric magnetic, electric and plasma velocity fields are essential for studying the dynamics of the solar atmosphere, for example through the derivative quantities of Poynting and relative helicity flux and by using…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-18 E. Lumme , J. Pomoell , E. K. J. Kilpua

This paper presents a parametric model approach to address the problem of photovoltaic generation forecasting in a scenario where measurements of meteorological variables, i.e., solar irradiance and temperature, are not available at the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Daniele Pepe , Gianni Bianchini , Antonio Vicino

The increased usage of solar energy places additional importance on forecasts of solar radiation. Solar panel power production is primarily driven by the amount of solar radiation and it is therefore important to have accurate forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-04 Kilian Bakker , Kirien Whan , Wouter Knap , Maurice Schmeits

This work presents a robust framework for quantifying solar irradiance variability and forecastability through the Stochastic Coefficient of Variation (sCV) and the Forecastability (F). Traditional metrics, such as the standard deviation,…

The projection of shadows from moving clouds in the troposphere impacts energy generation in power grids using photovoltaic systems. This investigation proposes an efficient method of data processing for the statistical quantification of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-21 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

This study predicts hourly solar irradiance components, Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHI) using meteorological data to forecast solar energy output in Ibadan,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-12 Obarotu Peter Urhuerhi , Christopher Udomboso , Caston Sigauke

Numerous methods exist and were developed for global radiation forecasting. The two most popular types are the numerical weather predictions (NWP) and the predictions using stochastic approaches. We propose to compute a parameter noted…

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

We present a new approach to study the properties of the sun. We consider small variations of the physical and chemical properties of the sun with respect to Standard Solar Model predictions and we linearize the structure equations to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 F. L. Villante , B. Ricci

Accurate estimation of solar irradiance is essential for reliable modelling of solar photovoltaic (PV) power production. In Ireland's highly variable maritime climate, where ground-based measurement stations are sparsely distributed,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-26 Maeve Upton , Eamonn Organ , Amanda Lenzi , James Sweeney