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We uncover a large and significant low-minus-high rank effect for commodities across two centuries. There is nothing anomalous about this anomaly, nor is it clear how it can be arbitraged away. Using nonparametric econometric methods, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-27 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

A market portfolio is a portfolio in which each asset is held at a weight proportional to its market value. Functionally generated portfolios are portfolios for which the logarithmic return relative to the market portfolio can be decomposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-29 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Robert Fernholz

Trading pressure from one asset can move the price of another, a phenomenon referred to as cross impact. Using tick-by-tick data spanning 5 years for 500 assets listed in the United States, we identify the features that make cross-impact…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-27 Victor Le Coz , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Damien Challet , Michael Benzaquen

We hypothesize that portfolio sorts based on the V/P ratio generate excess returns and consist of companies that are undervalued for prolonged periods. Results, for the US market show that high V/P portfolios outperform low V/P portfolios…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-03 Ahmad Haboub , Aris Kartsaklas , Vasilis Sarafidis

We study overpricing in a repeated game between two representative agents: a market maker, who controls market liquidity, and a market taker, who chooses trade quantities. Market prices evolve through the endogenous price impact of trades…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Luigi Foscari , Emanuele Guidotti , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tatjana Chavdarova , Alfio Ferrara

It has been widely observed that capitalization-weighted indexes can be beaten by surprisingly simple, systematic investment strategies. Indeed, in the U.S. stock market, equal-weighted portfolios, random-weighted portfolios, and other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-12 Adrian Banner , Robert Fernholz , Vassilios Papathanakos , Johannes Ruf , David Schofield

I demonstrate that with the market return determined by the equilibrium returns of the CAPM, expected returns of an asset are affected by the risks of all assets jointly. Another implication is that the range of feasible market returns will…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-24 Andreas Krause

The correct understanding of commodity price dynamics can bring relevant improvements in terms of policy formulation both for developing and developed countries. Agricultural, metal and energy commodity prices might depend on each other:…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-13 Luca Barbaglia , Ines Wilms , Christophe Croux

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

Stock prices are observed to be random walks in time despite a strong, long term memory in the signs of trades (buys or sells). Lillo and Farmer have recently suggested that these correlations are compensated by opposite long ranged…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 J. -P. Bouchaud , J. Kockelkoren , M. Potters

A constant rebalanced portfolio is an asset allocation algorithm which keeps the same distribution of wealth among a set of assets along a period of time. Recently, there has been work on on-line portfolio selection algorithms which are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-01 Yoram Singer

Trading a financial asset pushes its price as well as the prices of other assets, a phenomenon known as cross-impact. The empirical estimation of this effect on complex financial instruments, such as derivatives, is an open problem. To…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-30 Mehdi Tomas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Michael Benzaquen

Ranking algorithms play a crucial role in online platforms ranging from search engines to recommender systems. In this paper, we identify a surprising consequence of popularity-based rankings: the fewer the items reporting a given signal,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Fabrizio Germano , Vicenç Gómez , Gaël Le Mens

Using a proprietary dataset of meta-orders and prediction signals, and assuming a quasi-linear impact model, we deconvolve market impact from past correlated trades and a predictable return component to elicit the temporal dependence of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-15 X. Brokmann , E. Serie , J. Kockelkoren , J. -P. Bouchaud

We present empirical evidence on the relationship between demand shocks and price changes, conditional on returns to scale. We find that in industries with decreasing returns to scale, demand increases (which raise costs) correspond to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Joel Kariel , Anthony Savagar

In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 H. Lamba

This paper investigates the time-varying risk-premium relation of the Chinese stock markets within the framework of cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects by adopting the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the French-Fama three factor…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 H. -L. Shi , W. -X. Zhou

The numeraire portfolio in a financial market is the unique positive wealth process that makes all other nonnegative wealth processes, when deflated by it, supermartingales. The numeraire portfolio depends on market characteristics, which…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Constantinos Kardaras

Diversification of an investment into independently fluctuating assets reduces its risk. In reality, movement of assets are are mutually correlated and therefore knowledge of cross--correlations among asset price movements are of great…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 B. Rosenow , V. Plerou , P. Gopikrishnan , H. E. Stanley
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